GOLD ready to Drop $100 - COT Reports

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Digs, Jan 28, 2008.

  1. so why aren't they selling today?
     
    #11     Jan 28, 2008
  2. Will the hundreds of thousands of contracts that the commercials are short have to be bought back? Will they have to BUY?
     
    #12     Jan 28, 2008
  3. Of course, but the commercials tend to be right.
     
    #13     Jan 28, 2008
  4. sumosam

    sumosam

    With gold up smartly this a.m. I notice that the price action of the gold stocks on loose footing. Looks like we have a tug of war between buyers and sellers.
     
    #14     Jan 28, 2008
  5. Breaking to new highs (926)...
     
    #15     Jan 28, 2008
  6. DrEvil

    DrEvil

    The charts say we are going to 940/950 area first. I think it will happen this week.
     
    #16     Jan 28, 2008
  7. Most miners have reduced or closed their forward sales. Those that are left sold forward have been trying to buy them back, and I haven't even heard of one miner adding hedges in the last year.

    The majors left with anything sold forward are :

    Barrick - 9.5 mm oz
    Anglogold - 9.5 mm oz

    There aren't any other big ones. That only accounts for 1/4 or the huge commercial short position.

    The other 3/4 of commercial shorts are?

    And where are these other shorts going to get gold?
     
    #17     Jan 28, 2008
  8. commoditiestrdr

    commoditiestrdr Commodities View

    #18     Jan 28, 2008
  9. sumosam

    sumosam

    usd has broken support of 75.62....i expect another test of the previous bottom...74something, then a reversal.

    gold will move up til then; again, do not see the same momentum in the gold stocks, and yes, many "gold bulls" are not participating in this leg up.

    with the usd bottoming, and the markets on level ground, find it less likely fed will cut....they don't need to, low usd will help the economy. the 75bp cut is having its effect.

    God bless MickyD's!
     
    #19     Jan 28, 2008
  10. Digs

    Digs

    Oooops sorry

    When current price is between $900 to $1000 gold wil top out , then drop at least $100 dollars.

    I forgot a ZERO on the $100.
     
    #20     Jan 28, 2008