Here's a particular Gold Futures Calendar Spread that I've been short for a long time - until recently it's been quite thin, but working best offer I've been able to scale into it over time.
I keep shorting Gold/hedged couple years, has to come much lower for system to reverse, the recent decline has helped for small losses due to hedges. Am still long Silver and Copper.
I stopped thinking back in the 90s of the "whys", and now all automated and think of it even less. Why does anything go up and down, stories come out after the fact, I been using same very long term commodity system since late 1991, I am just a dumb monkey on a string or is that puppet on a string....LOL
That's the first question that came to my mind as well. But I guess, theoretically, he could exit them at different times for a profit.
Are you using the exchange supported Spread? I am. The synthetic Spread expressions with illiquid markets are not practical. BTW, the maintenance margin on that particular Spread is $225. http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/met...de=GC§or=METALS&exchange=CMX&pageNumber=1