Gold chart analysis

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Cam12, Jan 20, 2025.

  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Welp didn't take long to take out H1 swing low creating a new LL!
     
    #61     Feb 25, 2025
  2. hajimow

    hajimow

    My humble opinion. Avoid Bitcoin, Gold and Silver in the order. Bitcoin should hit 60K,, Gold 2750 and Silver 29. Those cases if happen, will make many many people bankrupt.
     
    #62     Feb 25, 2025
  3. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Nothing is ever certain in trading but it appears correction may have finally begun.

    A close below 2882.50 would confirm to me. Also not more than a 50% retracement before that would be needed as well.

    ! Gold Spot  02 07 25.png
     
    #63     Feb 25, 2025
  4. PPC

    PPC


    You seem to be one of the few newbies who is actually putting in some effort, so here are a few tips (for higher timeframes):

    There are many ways to approach the market. What’s important is that your method fits your own personality.

    Trading CFDs is fine, as long as you have a properly regulated broker (regulations vary a lot), and you spread your capital across multiple brokers (I don’t trust them that much).

    The gold market is more liquid than many global stock markets and is dominated by huge players. Therefore, it helps to approach it with the same mindset and tools that the big money would use, and then overlay your own setups (or system) on top of that. Otherwise, you’ll constantly be swimming against the tide.

    The reason I’m mentioning the above is because I’ve noticed that you’re not aware of the current location of the Gold price on the higher timeframes. Gold is at a key level after an extended run; therefore, it’s more likely than not that the big money will be taking profits at these key levels, and that gold should at least pause, consolidate, or revert to the mean.

    Look at the charts below and start building the puzzle to understand why Gold is now pulling back, and why the big money anticipated this in advance.

    upload_2025-2-27_23-55-3.png

    upload_2025-2-27_23-55-32.png

    upload_2025-2-28_0-1-3.png

    upload_2025-2-28_0-1-27.png


    The above is just an example of basic tools to help gain awareness of where key levels are, and to determine if the big players are getting ready to reverse the trend. Once you have situational awareness, you can begin analyzing the chart with price action (PA), or whatever method you use. Once again, there is no right or wrong way to approach the market, as long as it works for you. Just remember that the bigger timeframes always take precedence, and you should be aware of the price levels that the big players are watching.

    I know that you’re trading lower timeframes, but similar trading logic applies to intraday charts with few different nuances. It's important to get the direction right from higher time-frames, and then you can always fine tune discounted entries on lower timefreams.
     
    #64     Feb 27, 2025
    Cam12 likes this.
  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    OP is doing just fine, posting charts as price moves day to day, hour to hour - not in hindsight.
     
    #65     Feb 27, 2025
  6. PPC

    PPC

    OK, I won't post anything on this thread anymore.
     
    #66     Feb 27, 2025
  7. Cam12

    Cam12

    Thanks for your detailed post I really appreciate it!!

    I am trying to trade in line with my personality (fast time frames) while still being aware of how the larger picture is looking and only taking trades they both align; but as you noticed, I sometimes lose the larger perspective.

    I have been watching DXY and AUD when I have been trading XAUUSD or XAUAUD for the same reasons you mentioned. If I see PA line up on multiple markets, it gives me much higher conviction in the trade. I'm glad that I'm on the right path with that aspect.
     
    #67     Mar 1, 2025
  8. Cam12

    Cam12

    Good call
    You spotted that one coming!!
     
    #68     Mar 1, 2025
  9. Cam12

    Cam12

    Hey all,

    I was away for a few days helping my parents move house.
    I hope you all had some great trades during the sell off last week.
    I'm back to my usual routine and getting ready for Mkt open tomorrow morning

    Daily
    upload_2025-3-2_12-22-27.png



    4hr
    upload_2025-3-2_12-22-27.png



    1hr
    upload_2025-3-2_12-22-27.png



    15min
    upload_2025-3-2_12-22-27.png



    What I'm looking for:
    1. The bear trend to resume after a retesting a confluence of resistance

    What I am mindful of:
    I was away last week from Wed-Fri which meant I missed some really solid trending days.
    I'm feeling a bit of tension and fomo when I look at last week's chart .
    My monkey brain instantly wants to jump in to make up for the previous missed opportunities.
    (This feeling has led to me over-trading on subsequent days in the past)
    • I am going to take things slow and be very deliberate in my actions.
    • Stick to my plan and if things don't make sense, step aside and wait
     
    #69     Mar 1, 2025
    SunTrader likes this.
  10. LOL

    At which earliest time point did you first ascertain the trendline/channel?

    Do tell by marking the exact time point on your chart below

    hindsight-bs.png
     
    #70     Mar 3, 2025