Gold chart analysis

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Cam12, Jan 20, 2025.

  1. Cam12

    Cam12

    Monday

    Daily
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    4hr
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    #131     Mar 30, 2025
  2. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    All time highs mean no overhead resistance. That is the key.
     
    #132     Mar 31, 2025
    Cam12 likes this.
  3. Cam12

    Cam12

    Daily
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    4hr
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    1hr
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    What I'm looking for:
    1. Retest and reversal from either 3110-3113
    2. Retest and reversal from closer to 3100

    What I'm mindful of:
    Yesterday (Asian Session) the trend was near unstoppable. Price was stair stepping up. After each pull back to test previous highs the price would quickly reverse back up to new highs.
    I'll be looking to see if price action falls into a similar pattern today.

    Price appears to be in a range since yesterday afternoon. I'll wait for a safer entry near support or for a clear BO above 3130 before looking to enter
     
    #133     Mar 31, 2025
  4. Cam12

    Cam12

    That sure seemed to be the case yesterday.

    Hopefully we can get a repeat today
     
    #134     Mar 31, 2025
  5. mervyn

    mervyn

    reading gold chart is fruitless. comex delivered 6.6 tons of physical gold last month as long contract holders asked for physical delivery. i bet comex went out and grabbed at whatever the price it could.
     
    #135     Mar 31, 2025
  6. Cam12

    Cam12

    I don't get your point sorry.

    People are buying gold, creating more demand.

    Why would viewing the price impact of that on on a chart be fruitless?

    How is it different than viewing any other financial instrument on a time/price chart?
     
    #136     Mar 31, 2025
  7. mervyn

    mervyn

    gold price is marco driven, dxy is down, usd status is being challenged, etc
     
    #137     Mar 31, 2025
  8. Cam12

    Cam12

    Do you see Oil, Bonds and all commodities as macro driven too?

    DXY is going down.
    XAU is going up.

    I still don't see how that makes the price chart useless.
    Seems to me buying XAUUSD is a great trade.

    If you don't use the chart to figure out the prices you will buy and sell at, what do you use?
     
    #138     Mar 31, 2025
    SunTrader likes this.
  9. mervyn

    mervyn

    oil is supply and demand, bond is expectations, while gold one would buy and hold, rarely trade. as posted in es thread, i bought 1 oz gold bar every year since mid 90s, never have the inclination to trade.
     
    #139     Mar 31, 2025
  10. Cam12

    Cam12

    ok fair enough.

    I'd say that they are more similar than different

    Price expectations and supply/demand both drive each other. (chicken or egg problem)

    If someone expects prices to go up, they will likely buy the asset which increases demand and increases price

    For something like bonds:
    If traders expect bonds to go down, they will stop buying bonds, prices decline, yields rise and thus expectations for the wider market as a whole change going forward.

    It doesn't seem to matter which one leads the other.
    Price is the only thing that pays


    As for Gold, it seems to me like a decent instrument to trade currently.
    Relatively low spreads, no comms, it's getting more volatile each year with a clear upwards, accelerating drift.

    BTW good idea buying physical gold each year.
    That must be a nice rainy day stash you've built up :)
     
    #140     Apr 1, 2025