Gold breaking out

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Rickshaw Man, Jun 23, 2005.

  1. Sure. And if SPY/QQQQ/etc ETFs would dump 60% of their holdings, it'd also be "very disruptive"

    If I had to guess, I'd have the following theories:

    Some people decided to put e.g. 5%-10% of their liquid assets in gold. They may take some profits as price rises, to maintain a fixed exposure to gold as % of assets.

    The recent rise has been quite steep, and traders who try to time the market via GLD decided to take profits at the $445 number (which has a lot of options bets), if they think it will be strongly defended by the powers that be.
     
    #11     Jun 24, 2005
  2. Not too familiar with the gold ETF -- is the GLD sale based on something like lower "open interest" on the shares?
     
    #12     Jun 24, 2005
  3. No rocket-science required to calculate gold tonnage for GLD. They publish it EOD everyday at their website. Including historical data (how many tons of gold on X day).

    Infact, they also provide the numbers of the gold bars held by the fund. Apparently there was a lot of fuss initially about this. I guess physical gold investors have become very mistrusting after all those years of blatant, screaming manipulation by the powers that be.

    Remember that, adjusted for inflation, gold is still priced at 1/5th of its peak price in 1980, 25 years ago. In nominal dollars, it's still trading at 50% of its peak price.
     
    #13     Jun 24, 2005