Goal in 2015: $92k to $150k

Discussion in 'Journals' started by universaller, Jan 3, 2015.

  1. Still using only 20% of buying power since I'm waiting for volatility to pick up. Until then, I will be holding on high yield stocks.


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    #41     Apr 22, 2015
  2. IB report shows a slight difference in YTD return:

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    #42     Apr 22, 2015
  3. Still, I have been conservative holding on high yield stocks while reducing the exposure on options.

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    #43     Apr 29, 2015
  4. Thanks to 'xandman' for the idea posting VaR report by IB.
    This is VaR report for my account that my risk exposure is 2.8% of NAV.

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    #44     May 3, 2015
  5. Little change on P&L since last update:

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    #45     May 15, 2015
    Nobert likes this.
  6. Ended the month almost flat (down -0.4%):

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    #46     May 31, 2015
  7. will be adding some capital to trade more actively:

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    #47     Jun 6, 2015
  8. June and July were the worst months for portfolio - keeping on both oil and gold stocks, betting on earnings. Roughly, I lost 30% of total value. Since inception (Jan 2012), the below is the P&L comparison with S&P500 since I trade S&P500 stocks and options mainly:

    Date ----------------------------- SPY --------------------- My account
    Jan 2012 to Jul 2015 -------- +76.73% ----------------- +148.08%

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    #48     Aug 2, 2015
  9. This gives a little bit better information:

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    #49     Aug 2, 2015
  10. If one can say 30% for 30 years, he should make
    1.3^30 = 2619.996 times.


    40% for 25 years, he should make
    1.4^25 = 4499.88 = 4500 times.

    To compare those performances equally, let the length of investment be 50 years (from 30 to 80).

    For 20%, 1.2^50 = 9100.438 (100K becomes 910M)
    For 30%, 1.3^50 = 497929.2 (100K becomes 49792M)
    For 40%, 1.4^50 = 20248916 (100K becomes 2024891M) which is bigger than small country's wealth

    Note that stock market kept open for 400 years from Netherland. If there WAS any one with 20% outperformance trading logic, then he has all the wealth on earth NOW. Even Buffet and Gates should be broke now.

    Therefore, I am sure no one HAD 20% logic for 400 years.
     
    #50     Aug 3, 2015