Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Butterball

    Butterball

    Interestingly, TIPS are once again rallying big today, breakeven inflation expectations barely edging down. We're something like 65 bps above the Jackson Hole 2010 levels, making it tough for Fed doves to argue deflation expectations.
     
    #951     Aug 8, 2011
  2. Central planning fail.

    It took about 60 days for the market to take back all the fake gains it made in the months of QEII.

    The good part is the Beard finally delivered on his promise of lower interest rates - the 10 year now firmly lower in yield than it was on the day he gave his Jackson Hole speech.

    And now QE3. God help us all.
     
    #952     Aug 8, 2011
  3. Faber: Markets incredibly oversold.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e5FXYTRmoL0

    It will be interesting to see how precious metals and CHF will react to a rebound.

    He also comments on his personal portfolio.

    20%-25% stocks
    25% real estate
    20%-25% precious metals
    25% corporate bonds

    Makes good sense I would think once your networth goes in the millions.


    Obviously many find it hard to retain such discipline and prudence too often being overweight one specific asset.
     
    #953     Aug 8, 2011
  4. THE USD.CHF WILL RALLY GUARANTEED
     
    #954     Aug 8, 2011
  5. Yes but to what extend.

    I remember the AUD dropping like 7% or 8% intraday in 08.

    Maybe we could see the CHF rival that on a risk on day.
     
    #955     Aug 8, 2011
  6. Yep, my guess is that the mkt thinks the Fed will do more QE and therefore there's no reason to sell TIPS. I would beg to differ on the margins, so maybe tomorrow it's time to hit the magic button and sell some.
     
    #956     Aug 8, 2011
  7. According to news sources here... the ECB bought somewhere between 50 billion euro to 100 billion euro of Italian and Spanish bonds today....

    Would it not be cheaper to buy the beaten down banking stocks and trigger a risk on rally that way?
     
    #957     Aug 8, 2011
  8. Daal

    Daal

    Who are these sources?Seems like a massive amount
     
    #958     Aug 8, 2011
  9. They had one of the country's most quoted economists turned journalist (http://www.amazon.com/Chicago-School-University-Assembled-Revolutionized/dp/1932841148) and the prime minister in the studio this night and it was the number given by the economist....

    He said these numbers where not easy to come by but that were the numbers his sources named...
     
    #959     Aug 8, 2011
  10. Daal

    Daal

    Apparently the VIX had a larger one day gain than any day in 2008
     
    #960     Aug 8, 2011