Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. m22au

    m22au

    Thanks for that link. A big-four too-big-to-fail bank making a game out of property "investing". Hmmmm something is not quite right there.

    For everyone who hasn't had a read, here is the Aussie Housing Bubble thread:
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=199582

    The next batch of monthly RP Data-Rismark Property Indices should be released in the next few days. Then a few hours later there will be articles in the Aussie mainstream media with property industry representatives making funny excuses for property prices that are relatively flat / declining gradually.
     
    #821     Aug 2, 2011
  2. that is a classic: '"you can even buy more investment properties to increase value of your portfolio"

    :cool:
     
    #822     Aug 2, 2011
  3. Daal

    Daal

    Anyone know why EFF hit 17bps yesterday?
     
    #823     Aug 2, 2011
  4. m22au

    m22au

    I wonder if the simulator includes the possibility of a 20% plus decline in property prices, unemployment over 10% and a deep recession / depression?
     
    #824     Aug 2, 2011
  5. Daal

    Daal

    I forgot to mention my biggest tool in the poor man bloomberg terminal: http://www.newsstrike.com/index.shtml

    It essentially a guy looking at major news service and then transmitting by audio what is going on. Delay is probably smaller than 10secs. I only use for Fed decisions/NFP though
     
    #825     Aug 2, 2011
  6. It's like paper trading in a forex account (talking about investorville).

    In other potentially bad news for Oz, China has (apparently) halted offshore borrowing for domestic firms. Companies have been borrowing yuan cheap in HK, then bringing it back to the mainland for use - a major source of credit and profit.
     
    #826     Aug 2, 2011
  7. GC dragging it up, Daal... Should come back down, hopefully, with this ceiling thing out of the way. Or might be that peeps will have to wait for the downgrade, but, at any rate, should be temporary.
     
    #827     Aug 2, 2011
  8. Just bought slugs of WMT, MSFT in a tax-advantaged account. Will check off to reinvest divvies and go to sleep for 10-20 years.

    These guys are still making tons of money, yield more than the 10 year Treasury, and are selling cheap. No brainers for those with a longer time horizon. At the rate WMT is buying back stock, there will be no float in 15 years, but a market cap of $200B!

    Math often takes its time, but its laws are irrefutable.

    Am looking at JNJ, XOM, CVX, HPQ as well, but haven't pulled the trigger yet.

    Could big cap stocks get cheaper? Of course - I would have loved to have bought at 1974 when stuff was 4X earnings, but I have to deal with the market I have in front of me.
     
    #828     Aug 2, 2011
  9. m22au

    m22au

    Ralph you might be interested in this article about a long-term investment in XOM:

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/283613-sell-the-10-year-u-s-treasury-and-buy-exxon-mobil-instead
     
    #829     Aug 2, 2011
  10. m22au

    m22au

    USD/CHF new low 0.7725 and CHF/JPY heading towards 100.00

    all this despite Spain and Italy yields well off their highs
     
    #830     Aug 2, 2011