I dont know man, the BCB has been trying to tax everything known to man and do all kinds of controls in brazil and the real keeps rising
Yeah, but the Swiss have done it successfully in the past (like in the 70s or smth, I don't remember exactly). So maybe they know how to do it. Obviously, all this really hinges on what the Eurotards do (or fail to do), so it's possible that all their efforts are doomed, like the BCB's.
yeah I just turned on my poor-man's Bloomberg http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=.IT10:IND http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GSPG10YR:IND http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GBTPGR10:IND http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GSPG2YR:IND http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GBTPGR2:IND and saw the Italy and Spain quotes and all I can say is ..... ouch *** Link to bond yields: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2011/07/update-on-europe.html
I am now once again positioned for full European mayhem. That usually means a bounce and a sharp relief rally are near.
obviously there is a big chance of some type of short-term rally in European bonds and equities. But as per AEP, some European leaders are out in August for a summer vacation, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...ica-is-merely-wounded-Europe-risks-death.html so if that's the case, the chance of some kind of intervention may be lower than if it was February.
I'm following bloombergnews/now and reuters on twitter but frankly I find the news feed from Oanda is better
RBA raised the white flag on rates last night. Aussie getting hammered today. Expect rate cuts in 2012 if not sooner. Excepting the mining industry, Australia is really getting squeezed by higher rates and the higher aussie. The banking system - totally dependent on offshore funding - is a disaster waiting to happen. There is a seriously long way down for this currency if mining slows. I remain short the aussie, but still not yet of significant size.
As you probably know Ralph, on 15 July Westpac stuck their neck out and called for a rate cut before Christmas: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3237906#post3237906
And the Aussie housing mkt is a beaut, innit? I know there's been a lot of discussions of it everywhere, but, surely, if there's anything that just screams "top of the bubble", it's this right here: https://www.investorville.com.au/