Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    Here's a solution, quantifiable value investing
    http://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/97001708?access_key=key-277kw4gpzmb8o27srpuv

    Really nice paper there, one can do even better than value investors using rules and formulas for investing. Also it appears that for long-term cash its superior to use RSP(Equal weight SPX) instead of SPY
     
    #4551     Jul 3, 2012
  2. #4552     Jul 3, 2012
  3. Daal

    Daal

    Stocks are going down, US economy is creating too many jobs lol
     
    #4553     Jul 5, 2012
  4. Daal

    Daal

  5. Market looking sucker-punched after jobs report... no QE3 anticipation bounce thus far.

    Whole holiday week, post ECB move may have been a headfake. (Operation wash n' rinse, with short opps to resume following, as noted here...)

    Real tell, as far as stimulus hopes go, may have been utter lack of response to Thursday's "shock and awe" (ECB, BOE, PBOC moving all at once).

    And gold, good lord. Gold and silver look like shit on toast.

    This market just does not believe the inflationary / reflationary case. If we get another precious metals crap-out here, I wouldn't be surprised to see gold stocks get smashed.

    I'd be interested in buying gold after the market pukes up a lung... or maybe a lung and half a liver... no position in PMs, but resisting the urge to get aggressively bearish. What turns the tide at this point? And have we seen the big Paulson capitulation yet? How long before the rest of his investors decide he was just a big-ass riverboat gambler who used up all his luck in '07 / '08?

    Fear of a conservative win could be in play here too. Obama isn't running against Romney, he's running against the economy. Romney and crew will be seen as austerian + tax cuts for the rich (which ain't exactly stimulative).

    Just some quick random thoughts...
     
    #4555     Jul 6, 2012
  6. ammo

    ammo

    still wondering what ron paul will do
     
    #4556     Jul 6, 2012
  7. #4557     Jul 6, 2012
  8. ammo

    ammo

    #4558     Jul 6, 2012
  9. If an Apple Ipad costs 400 USD it costs 600 Euro over here.

    Won't the drop in the Euro eat at the profits of many US and Chinese manufacturers?
     
    #4560     Jul 9, 2012