Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    #4211     May 24, 2012
  2. ammo

    ammo

    these same investors might represent the same idiot mentality that bought into the real estate bonds and got taken,then the whole setup was blamed on subprime mortgages, no one knew what these cds's were,i doubt anyone knows what these(foriegn assets) derivatives are either and when they all get taken, it will be blamed on the greeks,one big ponzi after another
     
    #4212     May 24, 2012
  3. EURCHF just popped to 1.2026. Sweet, but it's gotta be a fat finger.:)
     
    #4213     May 24, 2012
  4. Daal

    Daal

    Rumor that CHF deposits to be taxed. pair at 1.204x, question is, should I take profits. I'm thinking no, market might realize they are serious about the whole weak franc policy thing
     
    #4214     May 24, 2012
  5. If the Swiss take action and the ECB takes action as rumor has it they will, this pair is going to CHF 1.25.
     
    #4215     May 24, 2012
  6. It looks like nothing more than a rumor (Swiss tax). Sounds like someone just wanted to make a few quick bucks.
     
    #4216     May 24, 2012
  7. Specterx

    Specterx

    Not only does this appear to be untrue (using EWA, $XAD and a simple average true range and starting from May 1, EWA is down a larger multiple) but it's majestically irrelevant. Put the same capital on both positions and I now have more profit - twice as much in fact. Whether your risk was lower than mine depends on where and how you entered rather than some meaningless aggregate statistic.

    It's possible I will endure steeper drawdowns as the trade proceeds, but so long as the original thesis is in place (among other things AUDUSD can be tracked as an indicator of the underlying thesis strength) those are merely superior second or third chances to add to the trade.
     
    #4217     May 24, 2012
  8. Specterx

    Specterx

    I don't understand this, are you being serious or kidding? Why on earth would Germans want to work construction in America en masse?
     
    #4218     May 24, 2012
  9. luisHK

    luisHK

    Debaser is talking about belgium market, but I find it weird as well, as Belgium doesn't seem so much better off than germany, actually not better off at all.
     
    #4219     May 24, 2012
  10. Belgium indeed and as to the why, well I take it is is no secret a lot of German economic strength has been build on wage tempering.

    The so called mini jobs alone employs hundreds of thousands for like 4 Euro an hour if I am correct.
     
    #4220     May 24, 2012