Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    Looking historically, this market ain't that oversold at all
     
    #4101     May 17, 2012
  2. Daal

    Daal

    JPM has become the fear pinhata, trading with a beta of 3 or something
     
    #4102     May 17, 2012
  3. Yeah, but they expire in June and time value was going to become an issue. One up day of 1% would be enough to destroy their value.

    While I was at it, I took a smidge of the profits and picked up a few SSO calls expiring next week. A solid up day tomorrow or Monday and these will double or more in value. Fun and games.
     
    #4103     May 17, 2012
  4. Possible scenario - washout Friday, bad news over the weekend, gap down Monday, VIX spike to 30+, and the (trading) bottom is in?

    Alternative - huge bank runs spread around Europe, and next week crashes 20-30%! Haha.
     
    #4104     May 17, 2012
  5. I see. That was my reasoning to get out of the 5/18 SPY puts last week, then rolled into the 6/15. Saw the early decline this morning, sold half my 6/15s, and put on the aggressive 5/25 weeklies that just started trading today. I also have stock position in TZA.

    By the way, I was down for the year, but today officially put me in the black. My equity chart looks like a rollercoaster that is now in its upward phase.
     
    #4105     May 17, 2012

  6. That tends to happen with pesky multi-billion trading losses that swell by 50%...
     
    #4106     May 17, 2012
  7. #4107     May 17, 2012
  8. #4108     May 17, 2012
  9. #4109     May 17, 2012
  10. Daal

    Daal

    You should have shorted the stock if it is such a nobrainer
     
    #4110     May 18, 2012