Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. High CAD is definitely the sticking point here. Canadian manufacturers in Ontario and Quebec cannot afford a much lower USD/CAD. BoC doesn't want to help that along.
     
    #331     Apr 12, 2011
  2. Daal

    Daal

    #332     Apr 13, 2011
  3. Daal

    Daal

    #333     Apr 13, 2011
  4. Daal

    Daal

    #334     Apr 14, 2011
  5. Greece going bye-bye, the 2 year up 90 basis points today to about 18.25% after German FinMin hints at restructuring - the first big-time EU official to admit the obvious.

    Markets are weird - I saw those comments yesterday afternoon and figured they would hammer the euro and equities, but saw no reaction. It took till overnight before markets reacted. Euro is now off 150 pips and stocks are taking a hit.
     
    #335     Apr 14, 2011
  6. Daal

    Daal

    Source?
     
    #336     Apr 14, 2011
  7. Daal

    Daal

    "HELENA, Mont. (Dow Jones)--Core inflation isn't at a significant level and the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank does not need to raise interest rates anytime soon, Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said Thursday morning."

    Hinting he won't dissent to extended period language. How he can sign on extended period and still see TWO hikes this year is beyond me
     
    #337     Apr 14, 2011
  8. #338     Apr 14, 2011
  9. Corelio

    Corelio

    Yellen's latest speech was pretty clear that the "extended period" language will remain as long as inflaction expectations remain anchored. Her belief is that the current rise in commodity prices is a temporary event and that it is now reaching a peak.

    But most importantly...the Fed has left the door wide open for QE3.0.
     
    #339     Apr 14, 2011
  10. Daal

    Daal

    In a sense there is always QE going on, the balance sheet of the Fed is usually growing overtime. If bank lending remains weak it will have to grow faster than it did pre-crisis
     
    #340     Apr 14, 2011