Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.


  1. Amazon is the eater of Best Buy:

    http://www.startribune.com/business/144875875.html

    AMZN is a good example of why we pay attention to charts -- not for crystal ball purposes, but to clarify and uncover high quality risk / reward setups.

    To some degree AMZN is a cult stock populated with true believers. Ever since the powerful thrust 3/20 breakout, true believers have had the clear upper hand.
     
    #3341     Mar 30, 2012
  2. ammo

    ammo

    i tnink amzn goes to 214 and then its done for awhile ,retest 194 area and see what happens ,unless we see one of those 25mill share days 1st
     
    #3342     Mar 30, 2012

  3. No idea -- and no desire to forecast short-term movements that have nothing to do with probability-based inflection points
     
    #3343     Mar 30, 2012
  4. Daal

    Daal

    Frankly I'm yet to understand you guys AMZN short thesis. PE ratios usually are not important in these momentum tech type stocks
     
    #3344     Mar 30, 2012
  5. #3345     Mar 30, 2012
  6. Upper hands fade quickly. They had the upper hand last year until they didn't and the stock dumped 30% in a few weeks while the rest of the market screamed higher.
     
    #3346     Mar 30, 2012
  7. Stick to top-ticking TLT then.

    PE ratio means about zero to my short thesis. P means everything, and the company makes little of it (and if revenue growth starts to show signs of slowing more, you might as well put a $60 handle on the stock).
     
    #3347     Mar 30, 2012

  8. Yep -- and when it happens, the charts will give a signal... if it happens too fast (which it usually doesn't), plenty of other opportunities out there
     
    #3348     Mar 30, 2012
  9. BTW, AMZN is not a momo stock. Shares have had a big month, yet still remain 20% below all-time high.

    Stock is up just 13% Y/Y (with all the gain and more this month). It's hardly Netflix circa summer 2011.
     
    #3349     Mar 30, 2012
  10. #3350     Mar 30, 2012