I don't remember the R and R definition but my own is: a bear market in gov bonds fueled by concerns of the country's public finances. A default does not necessarily have to happen
Goldman out with a report the exact opposite of Montier - recommends a big shift out of bonds into equities. http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-the-long-good-buy-the-case-for-equities-2012-3 Hmm, Montier vs. Goldman. Who to trust?
Quick response to the squid from al edwards ... http://www.businessinsider.com/albert-edwards-as-good-as-it-gets-2012-3 Starting a position in XCO at $7.26.
I shorted AMZN today near the close at 191.9, with a stop at 197.45. 2.9% risk on the position. Hat tip to those who posted about it, might be early on this but looks good technically and the R:R is unusually high: nearly 6x to my minimum expected target around 160 and 13x to my furthest target around 120.5. If it breaks down on the weekly I'll try to double up.
A potential good short is salesforce.com CRM http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CRM+Key+Statistics Trades at 9 times sales, 13 book, has no earnings. Almost 200 times EBITDA But the edge lies on when to take the short and good exiting techniques, which is not an easy game to play
Paulo Santos today on Amazing.com. He's been a pretty vocal bear for awhile ... http://seekingalpha.com/article/449251-taking-issue-with-the-kiva-pump
debt pushed out to 2015 then 2018... http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/testimony/tarullo20120322a.htm lift carpet..sweep
the bridge companies of the SIFI's in the previous article,could be the future dark pool banks of the investment and wealth management sections in this article with separate rules applying,opposed to having them mixed with retail,the public, if the public's personal account is not directly affected ,the public need not know of any business happening there,if the voter is not affected, no reason for DC to understand or worry about it... http://www.bankrate.com/financing/banking/feds-appetite-for-tbtf-destruction/ ...the unwinding of the debt problem seems more like expansion of liberties among the banking elite's complicated money destruction,or debt expansion