Speaking of Daniel Kahneman He was on Charlie rose the other day http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12185 I never read his work directly but was quite familiar with his findings through Nassim Taleb
Daal, do you follow the Macro Man blog (http://macro-man.blogspot.com)? Aside from satirical market analysis, they do put out some well founded macro research which I've found quite interesting.
I stopped after Macro Man left. I already have a 61 links I read every morning(takes 2-3 hours). I got ruthless with some sites, either it offered a ton of value or I just cut it. I think there is too much comedy there so I cut
I'd love to short it, but that's the trouble with high correlations. If it's just going to be another risk proxy, why bother. Buy shares instead. I believe there's been the stirrings of real policy change in Japan, but these guys always lose their nerve when the financial seas get rough, and the yen goes right back up. I saw some interesting research from Hedgeye that believes the weakening yen is not the result of BOJ policy change, but a harbinger that the gig is about up on Japan's debt bomb.
Furthering that point ... http://macromon.wordpress.com/2012/03/05/why-the-yen-is-swan-diving/ Trying to make a distinction between central banks buying government paper to stimulate the economy and buying government paper to finance the deficit. BOJ buys for 2012 will be equal to Japan's issuance of debt. Endgame?
Easy ECB money is fueling a Spanish/Irish-like RE boom in (formerly) sluggish Germany of all places. Great stuff. http://www.spiegel.de/international...rss?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
That is exactly the sort of rebalancing that's supposed to happen in Europe (if it wants to continue as EMU).
Rebalancing is one way to put it. Wrecking half the economies in the Eurozone with cheap-money-fueled bubbles, then firehosing a tsunami of yet more cheap money into the system which goes to fuel bubbles in the other half isn't really my idea of long-term structural reform.
Well, I do believe it's a bit more nuanced than that, given what's going on in the background. Moreover, I am not sure I am prepared to swallow the convenient story of property prices in Germany rising due to the effects of the "cheap ECB money". IMHO, it actually has a lot to do with flight-to-quality and the need for NDEM-denominated assets (as I think we have discussed earlier in this thread).