Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    Current liabilities larger than current assets. I'd have to go through their 10Ks and 10Qs to see what kind of maturity issues they have in their financial cycle. Also I'm really curious to know what are their $4B in 'short-term investments', might not be that liquid given that they could be reaching for yield somewhere. It doesn't look good
     
    #2321     Nov 22, 2011
  2. Daal

    Daal

    Apparently Airline stocks haven't made any money since 1992. And my data only goes back to .... 1992. Does anyone has longer-term set of data on the XAL index?
     
    #2322     Nov 22, 2011
  3. m22au

    m22au

    http://www.amex.com/othProd/prodInf/OpPiIndMain.jsp?Product_Symbol=XAL


    NYSE Arca Airline Index
    The NYSE Arca Airline Index (XAL) is an equal-dollar weighted index designed to measure the performance of highly capitalized companies in the airline industry. The XAL Index tracks the price performance of major U.S. and overseas airlines. The XAL Index was established with a benchmark value of 200.00 on October 21, 1994. The XAL Index is rebalanced quarterly based on closing prices on the third Friday in January, April, July & October to ensure that each component stock continues to represent approximately equal weight in the index.
     
    #2323     Nov 22, 2011
  4. m22au

    m22au

    from the yahoo chart

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^XAL&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

    it looks like there were two * 2:1 splits in the late 1990s.

    So the start figure of 200 in October 1994 is actually 50 when you adjust for the splits.
     
    #2324     Nov 22, 2011
  5. Failed bond auction in Germany. This is going well.
     
    #2325     Nov 23, 2011
  6. Euro finally starting to crack a bit and stay down despite the bounce in shares. This support of the euro every time shares tick up is ridiculous. Europe is in recession - most of the continent in a severe one. The currency ought to be at a far lower level, irregardless of the sovereign debt situation.

    Pretty close to a one-way bet here. Any bounce in the euro can't last for long. The continent's economy is imploding.
     
    #2326     Nov 23, 2011
  7. The average Euro Dollar rate since it's inception is 1.20 I believe so yeah there is room to fall no doubt.

    But then again Ralph you know US policy makers are not in favour of a very strong USD so that and the Chinese profit margins might put a floor below the Euro at some point.

    Ofcourse the US political situation today does not leave much room for the FED to ease much more despite it possibly driving stocks to new highs and the USD to levels deemed stable not long ago.
     
    #2327     Nov 23, 2011
  8. Daal

    Daal

    I'm surprised how the EUR is holding up well against other european currencies(NOK SEK). I'd think when the Bund stops being a haven capital would start fleeing the EUR zone into other places, I'd expect this to happen soon. If it doesn't I might have to dump these currencies entirely
     
    #2328     Nov 23, 2011
  9. AUD w/ 96 handle now. :)

    Banking some coin, but my guts are churning right now. It feels like we're on the edge of a complete financial meltdown - think 1987 combined with 2008.

    Words from 'crats no longer can do a thing. All that's left is coordinated central bank action to paper Europe with euros.
     
    #2329     Nov 23, 2011
  10. m22au

    m22au

    It doesn't even need to be coordinated.

    If Europe refuses to print, and the S&P 500 is below 1000, then the Fed would have the political cover to print $$$ and buy up PIIGS debt.
     
    #2330     Nov 23, 2011