Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. I understand but are there any statistics that prove this advantage for the British has actually gained them anything besides not coming under pressure from the financial markets?

    Has export risen? Has unemployment dropped?

    Mind you Spain never had more tourists visiting then this summer so even when fundamentals would seem to improve for them to result in more fiscal health is another question isnt it.
     
    #2121     Nov 13, 2011
  2. Butterball

    Butterball

    These things take time to play out. You won't see an instant effect on UK exports or job growth, just like Spain or Italy won't go down the drain overnight. This is a very slow process that will take years to complete as jobs will be maintained or created in more productive countries (Northern Europe) and destroyed in the least productive countries (PIGS).

    If you look at 10y yields on Italian debt and UK GILTs you see the market is pretty certain with how it will play out.

    For a good historic example look at the early 90s when Pound Sterling crashed and was forced out of the ERM. The numbers are out there.
     
    #2122     Nov 13, 2011
  3. Shorted a few more euros and aussies on the gap up at the open.
     
    #2123     Nov 13, 2011
  4. Daal

    Daal

    Does anyone if EFSF debt can be bought in the OTC markets or if its traded somewhere?I see people quoting the spreads and yields there almost daily which makes it seem that they are looking at trades rather than auctions
     
    #2124     Nov 14, 2011
  5. It's traded in the secondary mkt like all the other EUR sov debt...
     
    #2125     Nov 14, 2011
  6. Daal

    Daal

    Any idea where I can get charts, quotes of that without a Blg terminal?
     
    #2126     Nov 14, 2011
  7. I dunno, mate, tbh...
     
    #2127     Nov 14, 2011
  8. #2128     Nov 14, 2011
  9. #2129     Nov 14, 2011

  10. Shouldnt he rather be writing about all Republican candidates wanting to attack Iran rather then crying over the loss of the likes of Berlusconi who would have been in jail 10 years ago if he didnt wrote the laws to keep him out himself and owned all the TV channels to keep the propaganda machine going?
     
    #2130     Nov 14, 2011