Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. m22au

    m22au

    Also as Ashraf Laidi pointed out, in terms of exports, the CHF is more closely tied to the EUR than the JPY is tied to the USD.

    And as dhpar mentioned above, the JPY appreciation has been slower and smaller than the CHF appreciation.
     
    #1311     Sep 6, 2011
  2. Or maybe it's the Swiss who are the morons. What exactly are they going to buy with all of those euros? German and French paper? Excellent idea, let's widen those spreads to the PIIGS even more.

    The CHF is now essentially locked limit up vs. the EUR at 1.20, with the SNB selling CHF like mad.
     
    #1312     Sep 6, 2011
  3. They have been busy bees, diversifying out of EUR into other ccies... And yes, they do buy shorter-dated German paper with them Euros, but what else can they do?
     
    #1313     Sep 6, 2011
  4. Absolute power??? What are you smoking and can you please pass some thisaways?
     
    #1314     Sep 6, 2011
  5. gmst

    gmst

    I meant as prime minister, Noda can potentially do more than as Finance minister. Agreed, 'absolute power' as such was an improper phrase. why you getting upset.
     
    #1315     Sep 6, 2011
  6. Not upset, would just like some of what you're smoking. Noda has a better title, yes. Whether he has more power now is arguable. Like in corporate politics, one might even say that Noda has been kicked upstairs.
     
    #1316     Sep 6, 2011
  7. gmst

    gmst

    Lol, I mis-understood you. Sorry, I don't have much to pass around, whatever I am smoking!

    Agreed, if Noda has more power is arguable. On a side note, reading his character vs Kan's character - it seems to me that he is more forceful, more internal locus of control kind of guy. At least that was the difference between his response to JPY intervention and Kan's response to the earthquake.
     
    #1317     Sep 6, 2011
  8. Daal

    Daal

    Its typical, everybody is discussing trades and macro views and this dude comes out with his zero hedge rant everyday on why he wants bernanke ballsack cut off
     
    #1318     Sep 6, 2011
  9. Not sure why pointing out that the SNB needs to do something with the euros it buys is ranting. It wasn't me that lost $90B (or whatever the figure was) last year in the currency markets. Also not sure, why pointing out that Noda actually has little power in a country that goes through PMs like Steinbrenner through managers. Seems to me like those are both quite valid macro points.

    Review the last month (or last several months now that i think about it), sonny. A host of trades - most of them wildly profitable.

    Also, for the long term guys - a bunch of stocks that are about guaranteed to compound 15% or more/year for the next decade - WMT, MSFT, TUP, XOM, NLY (bought BP this morning, BTW).

    You keep giving us the flow of funds reports and latest utterings from central planners, saves me searching the web to find them.
     
    #1319     Sep 6, 2011
  10. m22au

    m22au

    Looks like (at least in the last 30 mins) the USD is being considered a safe haven again, with declines to New York session lows in EUR, GBP and AUD, and gold pulling back a few dollars as well.

    edited to add: and strangely enough, while that move happened, the 10-year bond futures fell.

    I would have thought USD strength would equate to ZN strength as well.
     
    #1320     Sep 6, 2011