Global Macro Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Feb 25, 2011.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    I'm actually long BAC plus got another limit order for today in my short-term systematic trading account. But its just a snapback play
     
    #991     Aug 9, 2011
  2. in regards to BAC, i wouldn't buy it but there's a possibility in spin offs. a more proper valuation in that scenerio would be around 9/10 a share. will management have its hands forced to sell off assets?

    a recession is not fully priced in and looking more likely as more economic data comes out. the stock could get a lot cheaper
     
    #992     Aug 9, 2011
  3. Daal

    Daal

    #993     Aug 9, 2011
  4. Any picks?
     
    #994     Aug 9, 2011
  5. m22au

    m22au

    Just about any other big cap financial looks stronger technically.

    However you could be right about a bounce, and today's low of 6.75 provides an obvious stop if you're wrong.

    I posted a link to the Whalen piece (published this morning) in the BAC thread:

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3264562#post3264562
     
    #995     Aug 9, 2011
  6. m22au

    m22au

    taking it a step further GoC, how about a pair trade of long XLF and short BAC.
     
    #996     Aug 9, 2011
  7. Berkowitz likes it. Biggest position of his huge FAIRX fund. He lost quite a ton with this position though.

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/43343328/Fairholme_s_Berkowitz_Still_Bullish_on_Bank_of_America

    I like the idea of buying stuff that smarter than me analysts have bought for 2x the price, in this case it would be BAC and SHLD.
     
    #997     Aug 9, 2011
  8. #998     Aug 9, 2011
  9. Paulson's biggest fund down 21% through the end of July. Down another 10% in August. That's just ridiculously bad for a supposedly sophisticated global macro fund. Paulson never was a global macro guy, but hit the jackpot when he hired Pelligrini who dreamed up the housing short.

    I find it hard to believe that Paulson's investors aren't redeeming given this pathetic performance. His fund could definitely be the reason behind the devastation in C and BAC.
     
    #999     Aug 9, 2011
  10. Obviously he was right about gold but for now we can say he used the wrong method to play it's rise... through the goldminers.


    It's like I believe GoC once said on this board.

    Being right on a direction of a certain asset is only like maybe 20% of what is needed to actually be succesfull.


    It is quite strange to see many of the miners being below the levels of where they were when gold was below 1000$ but it is what it is and time will tell which one is overrated (gold) or undervalued (the miners).
     
    #1000     Aug 9, 2011