Ghost of If You Can Draw A Straight Line

Discussion in 'Journals' started by dbphoenix, Jan 1, 2014.

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  1. Roffe

    Roffe

    like niko, i see these trend channels all the time nowadays.
     
    #221     Feb 5, 2014
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    But you're not allowing it to do its job. Your upper line should begin with the first swing high after the beginning swing low. Yes, this will cut through the second and third swing highs, but that's the point. It's telling you that those highs are "overbought" and that those levels can't be sustained as long as the swing lows remain where they are. So, price reverts to the mean (which is also drawn too high).
     
    #222     Feb 5, 2014
  3. Roffe

    Roffe

    and here i thought it looked so pretty and orderly. ;) but yeah, you're right. forgot about/ignored the whole overbought feature of it. thanks.
     
    #223     Feb 5, 2014
  4. niko

    niko


    Just to clarify, I did not see "that channel" :) . Roff, give a good read to the AMT post db made a couple of days ago, those will help you tracing the channels properly. If you are in a downtrend TC you have to start with the Down TL. It seems like you are using the lows as reference points.

    Great that you are posting BTW.
     
    #224     Feb 5, 2014
  5. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I've been getting questions about volume via PM and otherwise and this week provides a good example of why I don't plot it anymore.

    Does one really need to see the volume that accompanies buyers slamming on the brakes Monday morning to see that they are supporting price at that level? Does one really need to see the volume yesterday to recognize a climactic selloff which happens to occur at the lower limit of the trend channel? If so, then by all means plot it. But if one understands that volume is important only at those levels and points where it makes a difference, and the price behavior itself at the time will tell you what to do, the volume plot becomes irrelevant.
     
    #225     Feb 6, 2014

  6. Your channels are on the money! The proof is that price followed them.
     
    #226     Feb 6, 2014
  7. What is improper in his channels? Price follows them.
     
    #227     Feb 6, 2014
  8. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I see we tested 3500 a couple of hours ago. This is a plus. Whether or not one goes long here is of course up to the individual trader.
     
    #228     Feb 7, 2014
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    [​IMG]
     
    #229     Feb 7, 2014
  10. qqq at 86.62. My models are telling me sellers around the corner (within a dime).
     
    #230     Feb 7, 2014
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