http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ge-matches-q1-earnings-estimate-120512810.html http://www.usatoday.com/story/money...lectric-first-quarter-2016-earnings/83376658/ http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.GE.NYS http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=GE+Interactive#{"range":"2y","allowChartStacking":true} Trade: with GE at 30.76 March '17 25/20 bull put spread for a net credit of $50 Yield = 50/450 = 11.1% in 327 days or 12.4% annualized Prob = 93% Expectation = .93(50) - .02(450) - .05(225) = 46.5 - 9.0 - 11.25 = 26.25 Price.................. Profit / Loss ..........ROM % 15.00..................... (450.00).............. -88.90% 17.50..................... (450.00).............. -88.90% 20.00..................... (450.00).............. -88.90% 24.24..................... (26.20).................. -5.24% 24.50........................ 0.00.................... 0.00% 25.00...................... 50.00................... 11.10% 27.50...................... 50.00................... 11.10% 30.00...................... 50.00................... 11.10% 35.00...................... 50.00................... 11.10% A blue chip buy and hold substitution (GE pays a dividend of 3%)