GBP/JPY Trading 2008

Discussion in 'Forex' started by ForexPro, Jan 1, 2008.

  1. First test of 211.98 failed. About to try again.
     
    #201     Jan 14, 2008
  2. TP at 211.80 for +55pips.

    It really is hard work for gains on longs, as when the yen weakens the £ goes down, making a slow grind upwards. I think I'll stick to GJ shorts, and AJ longs on Jpy weakness & strength respectively.
     
    #202     Jan 14, 2008
  3. Second test of 211.98 also failed so the downward trend is still in place ... for the time being.
     
    #203     Jan 14, 2008
  4. Yes looks weak. A lot will depend on CPI figs tomorrow. A stronger reading will halt the downtrend for a while, if the implication is for a slowdown in cuts.
     
    #204     Jan 14, 2008
  5. CPI figs had a slight upside bias but am using as an opportunity to sell as it wont stop the BOE cutting.

    short 211.32 st 211.95 tp 210.22
     
    #205     Jan 15, 2008
  6. st hit -63pips. Move caught me off-guard. If you look on smaller time-frames we've had higher lows and higher highers. So dip-buying seems the best strategy for today, as long as wall-street isnt spooked by citicorps results.
     
    #206     Jan 15, 2008
  7. Still short. Nice move to 210 as we discussed last week and about to test it again. Price broke the bottom daily trendline but not enough to make it a R point. There is no clear cut R1 but it is vaguely 210.95 or 210.50 with 211.98 being R2.
     
    #207     Jan 15, 2008
  8. The trend is rather long in the tooth which is going to make it very hard to sell rallies other than those with large stops and small targets. It's also going to be very difficult to call the bottom without some serious consolidation first.
     
    #208     Jan 15, 2008
  9. short 210.81 st 211.81 tp 209.81
    Short is the best way to go. I think the US equity mkts will take a tumble this afternoon, which will affect carry-trade/risk sentiment.

    I agree its hard to call a bottom, but GBP/USD appears to have put in a bottom.
     
    #209     Jan 15, 2008
  10. Cable is stagnant but USD/JPY is still making lows.
     
    #210     Jan 15, 2008