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GBA PRESENTS- the public games

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by stonedinvestor, Jul 22, 2024.

TrailerParkTed
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stonedinvestor said:
Key Communication Services Stock Picks

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane

BT Group

Key Morningstar Metrics for BT Group 

Analyst: Javier Correonero

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 190.00 

Economic Moat: Narrow 

Javier Correonero, equity analyst at Morningstar, thinks BT, is a promising investment. Its relationship with the UK’s regulator Ofcom has improved signaling reduced regulatory intervention. Openreach, the company BT owns, is also expected to bring in higher free cash flow. Meanwhile, BT will reduce its headcount to ensure cost controls which are paramount in the telecommunications industry.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane 

Analyst: Javier Correonero

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 12.60 

Economic Moat: Narrow 

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane, the Italian telecoms multi-operator, is backed by Morningstar for the quality of its tower portfolio, as it has the two largest mobile operators in Italy. The company, commonly known as Intwit, has contracts that provide it with best-in-class inflation protection. Morningstar also likes that its dividends are projected to grow in the mid-to-high single digits.

Key Consumer Cyclical Stock Picks

Persimmon

Zalando

Kering

The consumer cyclicals sector is currently attractively valued.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Persimmon

Analyst: Grant Slade, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 2300.00 

Economic Moat: None 

Grant Slade, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, backs UK housebuilder Persimmon, arguing that the UK housing market is in the early stages of a cyclical recovery. We looked at the prospect forUK housingandmortgagesin two recent articles.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Zalando SE 

Analyst:Jelena Sokolova, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 42.70

Economic Moat: None

German apparel retail supplier is benefiting from its strong balance sheet to weather the sector downturn.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Kering 

Analyst: Jelena Sokolova, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 448.00 

Economic Moat: Narrow 

Gucci owner Kering was one of the luxury goods names hit by weak Chinese consumer sentiment last year. However, Kering is a top stock pick because it has a significant presence in leather goods, its flagship brand Gucci is strong globally, and it owns smaller brands in the business with the potential to expand.

Key Consumer Defensive Stock Picks

Pernod Ricard

British American Tobacco

Reckitt Benckiser

Consumers have shown they are much more selective in what they are purchasing which has created a tough landscape for larger brands going into 2025.

Key Morningstar Metrics For Pernod Ricard 

Analyst: Verushka Shetty

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 129.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Verushka Shetty, equity analyst at Morningstar, backs the business for its extensive portfolio and strong innovation pipeline, priming it to dominate growing markets like India. Its products also fall into an affordable luxury category meaning it should benefit from long-term demand growth thanks to premiumization.

Key Morningstar Metrics For British American Tobacco 

Analyst: Kristoffer Inton

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 3900.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

BATS has invested in several next-generation products that can deliver nicotine with reduced risk, as global cigarette consumption is declining.

Kristoffer Inton, equity analyst at Morningstar, sees this strategy as leading to the cigarette behemoth becoming a “jack of all trades, master of none.” However, despite the challenges in its next-generation portfolio, Inton is confident BAT will remain profitable, as it holds several cigarette brands with high market shares, particularly in the US.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Reckitt Benckiser Group 

Analyst: Diana Radu, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 6500.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Reckitt Benckiser’s portfolio is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth drivers across consumer health and hygiene. The company’s acquisition of Mead Johnson has allowed Reckitt to expand into infant nutrition – a sector with strong pricing power. In comparison, with some of its competitors, the brand has no real exposure to laundry care, which Morningstar feels explains its higher operating margin of low 20s compared with high teens for its peers.

Key Energy Sector Stock Picks

Shell

BP

Key Morningstar Metrics for Shell 

Analyst: Allen Good, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 2900.00 

Economic Moat: None 

Backers of Shell believe the business will benefit from a rise in demand for gas around the world as LNG becomes much more important over the next decade. Shell’s new CEO has also slowed down its green transition strategy and refocused the company on capital discipline and returns.

Key Morningstar Metrics For BP 

Analyst: Allen Good, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 490.00 

Economic Moat: None 

In Allen Good’s view, BP adapting well to the green energy transition. It is moving away from investments in oil which could better position it for success than its peers over the next decade. However, the company will keep its hydrocarbon production at current levels. This decision will ensure BP continues its leverage to commodity prices which will strengthen cash flow for shareholders.

Key Financial Services Stock Picks

BNP Paribas

Prudential UK

Adyen

Morningstar analysts expect central banks to continue to cut interest rates this year. Higher interest rates have enhanced European banks' profitability, but the upcoming decline in rates is not expected to dent banks' success in 2025.

Key Morningstar Metrics For BNP Paribas

Analyst: Johann Scholtz, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 85.00 

Economic Moat: None 

BNP Paribas BNP has reported consistent earnings over the past decade, whilst its peers have experienced earnings volatility. As we enter a return to normal monetary policy in the Eurozone, Morningstar expects a structural increase in BNP Paribas’ profitability. Therefore, the French bank is viewed as a less risky investment opportunity because of its stable track record.

Key Morningstar Metrics For Prudential UK 

Analyst: Henry Heathfield, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 1200.00 

Economic Moat: None 

Prudential UK has divested from its UK, European, and North American operations. It is now a life and health insurer fully focused on Asia and Africa, with one of the region’s largest asset management businesses. For Morningstar, Prudential’s business interests in Hong Kong and Singapore show that it has begun to move away from its bread and butter of catering to the middle classes to build a growing network of high-net-worth individuals.

Key Morningstar Metrics For Adyen 

Analyst: Niklas Kammer, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 1660.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Niklas Kammer, equity analyst at Morningstar, considers the Dutch payment company to be an investment that provides exposure to the same attractive growth fundamentals that global tech giants enjoy. Also, the business does not have high capital requirements, it is profitable and is a high cash generator.

Key Healthcare Stock Picks

Bayer

GSK  

Roche

Key Morningstar Metrics For Bayer 

Analyst: Jay Lee

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 45.10

Economic Moat: Narrow

Morningstar analysts believe Bayer has a narrow economic moat because of the competitive advantages of the healthcare group. Bayer runs a crop science and consumer healthcare business which differs from its prescription drug offering.

In the healthcare division, Bayer’s strong lineup of recently launched drugs and solid exposure to biologics support steady long-term cash flows. The company also holds leading brands Aspirin and Aleve.

Bayer’s crop science segment includes crop protection products such as pesticides, and the fast-growing plant and seed biotechnology business.

Key Morningstar Metrics For GSK

Analyst: Jay Lee

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 2200.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Jay Lee, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, is backing undervalued GSK because of its next-generation respiratory and HIV drugs, which Lee expects to have strong growth over the next three years. Also, the firm’s respiratory syncytial virus vaccine Arexvy should support long-term growth because of the efficacy of the drug and limited competition.

Key Morningstar Metrics For Roche 

Analyst: Karen Andersen, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: CHF 379.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Karen Andersen, director of equity research at Morningstar, believes that Roche’s ROG drug portfolio and industry-leading diagnostics create maintainable competitive advantages for the company.

Andersen also points to its culture of collaboration with its US arm Green Tech which has boosted research and development productivity, as well as personalized medicine offerings that take advantage of Roche’s diagnostic expertise.

Key Industrials Stock Picks

Rentokil Initial

Melrose Industries

Renault

Key Morningstar Metrics For Rentokil Initial

Analyst: Grant Slade, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 620.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

The UK-based pest-control business, Rentokil, is well positioned, according to Morningstar, to benefit from fast-growing pest-control demand in Asia. The stock is expected to grow from the gradual adoption of its digital-pest control offering, and from its ongoing M&A program, which has seen the business complete over 200 acquisitions since 2015.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Melrose Industries

Analyst: Loredana Muharremi, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 740.00 

Economic Moat: Wide 

Aerospace business Melrose Industries supplies 90% of the in-service global engines fleet. The business focuses on narrow-body aircraft, and through its acquired business GKN Aerospace, it is also primed to capitalize on long-term structural industry growth. Its service business should also grow as 45% of CFM56 and 30% of V2500 engines are due for their first maintenance work over the next five years.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Renault

Analyst: Rella Suskin, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 85.00 

Economic Moat: None 

No-moats Nissan and Honda have announced they are in talks to possibly merge with Renault. Rella Suskin, equity analyst at Morningstar, views the merger as a positive for Renault. A merged entity would benefit from greater scale. Renault has successfully streamlined its cost base at lightning speed over the last three years. These learnings could be applied to a merged Nissan-Honda company.

Key Utilities Stock Picks

SSE  

Veolia Environnement

E.ON

Key Morningstar Metrics For SSE

Analyst: Tancrede Fulop, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: GBX 2350.00 

Economic Moat: None 

Tancrede Fulop believes that UK utility SSE is well placed to benefit from the green transition accelerated by the election of the Labour government in Britain. In comparison to other Western European countries, the UK has a favorable regulatory regime which is a positive landscape for SSE.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Veolia Environnement 

Analyst: Tancrede Fulop, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★ 

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 37.50 

Economic Moat: Narrow 

Treatment and distribution of water accounts for about 40% of Veolia’s turnover. The water distribution activity is not cyclical and is indexed to inflation. Also, water technologies make up 25% of the water division. According to Fulop, Veolia exhibits an economic moat thanks to switching costs as the business has “razor-and-blade” features driving highly recurring revenue.

Key Morningstar Metrics for E.ON 

Analyst: Tancrede Fulop, CFA

Morningstar Rating: ★★★★★

Fair Value Estimate: EUR 17.00

Economic Moat: Narrow

E.ON is backed by Fulop because the company is absorbing additional investment opportunities due to the need to connect a growing amount of renewable capacity to the grid. The business is exposed to rising interest rates due to its exposure to pensions and the nuclear provisions it bears, and the network’s revenue is indexed to inflation.
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Good find, thank you!
#8511 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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TrailerParkTed said:
Good Morning Stoney and all! Stoney do you ever eat Mexican food or does New York not have the same level we have in Southern California?

“
Headlines: Pedro Pascal Says “There’s No Good Mexican Food In New York” On ‘Hot Ones’
By Lexis-Olivier Ray
10:52 AM PST on March 10, 2023”

In my spam box and social media scanning device TMC(The Metals Company) is getting promoted heavily, I don’t know it like you. Personally I will wait for volume and more excitement before acting on it.
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I would think Cali has better Mexicans. and food.

We do have some very good choices in the city but none that I would go out to eat at. Not at that level but for comfort food that is flash cooked so no germs.. Mexican is a good choice.

Traditionally the older the better we used to order from Mexico Lindo on 2nd ave I think they closed. Javelina is near me- they are funky and good.

This place looks great have not been>

https://www.instagram.com/beli_eats/reel/DGRyGmIxvI3/

#8512 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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Yea sadly Lindo is closed they had been on that corner since the 1970's.

$30–50‧Mexican restaurant

Permanently closed
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#8513 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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TrailerParkTed said:
Yesterday I listened to four trading podcasts while hiking. The theme was rebuilding Ukraine using Poland ETFs as big beneficiaries and two commodity ETF baskets at ATHs, any thoughts on commodities and Poland?
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It's such a big topic. Germany & France are going to move closer together and isolate the US.
But Trump will be wielding the hammer and sickle...

Before any rebuild obviously the fighting must stop.

Then first step will most likely be unexploded and exploded ordnances retrieval

#8514 Feb 24, 2025

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TrailerParkTed
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I have had enough of Leather face Joe Kernal on CNBC for today, now Bloomberg or TastyTrade live.

#8515 Feb 24, 2025

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TrailerParkTed
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Stoney would you?

“Moab Rope Jumping”

https://m.youtube.com/shorts/cNYrq2onUnM

#8516 Feb 24, 2025

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TrailerParkTed
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TrailerParkTed said:
Stoney would you?

“Moab Rope Jumping”

https://m.youtube.com/shorts/cNYrq2onUnM
More...

#8517 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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Ahhhhhhh no. No zip lines either they sometimes just stop half way across the gorge.

YYAI Connexa Sports Technologies Inc.- HK stk.

Connexa Sports Technologies skyrockets on content creation agreement with TikTok
NewsToday, 8:04 AM

$0.640.0014(+0.22%)4:00 PM 02/21/25
NASDAQ |$USD |Pre-Market:$1.05+0.41(+64.04%)8:23 AM<------

#8518 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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CHINA LATE MOVERS EDITION:::::

(1) BEKE KE Holdings Inc.

$20.90 0.68(+3.36%)4:00 PM 02/21/25
NYSE |$USD |Pre-Market:$21.17+0.27(+1.29%)8:12 AM

(2) IQ iQIYI, Inc.

$2.26 0.075(+3.44%)4:00 PM 02/21/25
NASDAQ |$USD |Pre-Market:$2.24-0.01(-0.67%)8:09 AM

#8519 Feb 24, 2025

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stonedinvestor
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I AM FAVORABLY INCLINED HERE WAITING FOR MY PRICE-:

WATCH-->BYRN Byrna Technologies Inc.

$28.51-0.66(-2.28%)4:00 PM 02/21/25
NASDAQ |$USD |Pre-Market:$28.80+0.29(+1.02%)8:04 AM

#8520 Feb 24, 2025

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