This guy has more exposure though. This is not a run of the mill bear put spread. The downside is unlimited (well $130/contract at least). He's got 3100 contracts on the short side that could keep dropping. If it goes to $100, this cat is out $9.3M (minus his $3.4M) I wonder if he/she realizes this. You'd think they would, but I've read there's ultra-rich newbies out there that are playing the option game and they have no idea what they're doing. This is a lousy trade imo. I mean if this thing drops to his target area, odds are it won't stop there. That's a big drop. Unless our whale has inside info where he's pegging this thing at $130-$133.50 >>> it's a terrible trade. Technically he's good down to about $120ish I guess, but still. Hmph.
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I buy fractional contracts! SNOW scares the hell out of me. You think it was Stoney? Jim Chanos short ZM, probably late news.
If someone bought DVN, VET, OXY, or ERX when you called the Oil bottom, they’re up 25% in less than three weeks.
Update since Aug 11 ( they all were up prior but I'll quote closing price ); generally good trend may have some more legs. Crew hit a significant new 52 week high today before pulling back some. Some resistance levels appear to be broken in many of these stocks opening up the possibility of oversized moves depending on news. ATH 2.36 --> 2.60 ( promising ) GXE 1.40 --> 1.32 ( only loser despite strong fundamentals -- it's puzzling at 9% yield ) BTE 6.42 --> 6.89 ( promising ) PIPE 4.16 --> 4.70 ( very promising huge move needed to regain 52 week high ) BIR 10.30 --> 11.72 ( nat gas slow steady trend prob ok as a day trade ) CR 5.94 --> 6.68 ( nat gas big move off bottom could be volatile prob worth $8 ) NVA 10.96 --> 11.30 ( nat gas not much of a move but well below 52 wk high ) CPG 9.94 --> 10.29 ( promising but may be dragged by US index weakness ) ERF 18.13 --> 20 ( most of move likely done for now ) CVE 23.70 --> 24.73 ( big cap prob not worth a play yet ) WCP 9.30 --> 9.55 ( large mid cap prob not worth a play yet ) Given recent moves I prefer Oil plays short term with maybe day trades on Nat Gas plays ( I prefer NVA as a potential break out over BIR ). Inventories dropped again tonight despite Biden's draining US emergency reserves. I currently hold ATH, GXE, BTE, PIPE, and CR but somewhat reduced my position in CR yesterday and sold my BIR/NVA last two days. Added to ATH at daily lows today. Wednesday often strong day to hold Oil stocks at least in the morning and take profits if things look dodgy. I'm unclear on CR/NVA they may run but I don't want oversized overnight risk today on them.
I don’t understand why my VET tanked after earning and jumped to $28 today. I added more when Van agreed Nat&Oil were heading back up. It was a great call! DINO $42-50 OXY. $57 LNG $140-$160 MPC $85-$100 VET $25 ave VLO $97-$107 CRK $16 ave ERX $46-$55 are a few.
Vermllian is Canadian but has big European nat gas operations. I never added it to my watch list would have been a good candidate at various points. Price moves can be tricky in any of these often they can drop a fair bit just before the best up moves. I bailed on Surge Energy at a large loss late last year then it doubled in 2 months. Some of this is due to the thinness of interest by retail and Cdn fund managers; the NYSE listed ones may have US buying dynamics. Crescent Point for example tends to move strangely at times overly influenced by US indexes.
Oh baby! That has got to be the baddest drone! -> re: Given recent moves I prefer Oil plays short term Nine I think there probably is a narrowing of the spread between Nat gas and oil. I agree with your assessment.