GBA Presents: RADIO SAVANT-!

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by stonedinvestor, May 13, 2022.

  1. I admire this guy but really he's got a pistol for backup I have a small knife.-
     
    #2961     Jul 9, 2022
  2. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Hey Stoney, for real on GME, don't dismiss this thing as a garbage stock. NFT's are a big deal, and not just for stupid things. There's no doubt GME is fundamentally overpriced, but the folks that own the stock are as devout as the TSLA hodl'rs. Some are pretty well versed on the future of NFT's. Even @unconventional wisdom here said NFT's will disrupt many of the existing ways enterprise and govt do business. Your car title, nft. House deed, nft. There are dozens of things. Not sure what GME has up their sleeve, but I doubt this will follow in the footsteps of Radio Shack.
     
    #2962     Jul 9, 2022
  3. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Hey Stoney!!!!!

    This is why it pays to listen to me when I share.
    I wrote this on Wednesday:

    >>>On Friday Putin makes a speech:

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Putin warns of ‘catastrophic’ energy crisis if west boosts sanctions
    Russian president Vladimir Putin has threatened “catastrophic consequences” for world energy markets if western powers impose further sanctions on Moscow, as G7 members discuss plans to try to cap Russia’s oil revenues following its invasion of Ukraine.

    ____________________________________________________________


    What was it I said again?

    "Throw a dart at any high beta energy stock Stoney (without some kind of negative underlying story, and a lot of short term debt), and buy it. Forget these stupid stocks like friggin Flywire. They'll rise and fall lockstep with the tech sector... but going into Q3-Q4 2022.... energy is the place to be.
    If you want outsized gains that is."


    Watch what happens to the energy stocks this week.

    Next time Stoney, and you should already know this by now (of course you do, but you just hate admitting it) >>>pay attention when I put that little "~VZ" at the end of a post.
    upload_2022-7-10_12-40-27.jpeg ~100 for 100 at ET.
     
    Last edited: Jul 10, 2022
    #2963     Jul 10, 2022
  4. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Nasdaq down 115 points.
    WTI>>>> $104
    Where's the love Stoney?!!!!
    :cool:

    SHORT FORD!!!!!!

    The Lightening is a great truck, but Ford makes millions of cars too.
    Everyone and their brother is bullish on Ford.
    While the savant loves Ford, it's going lower.
    $11.62 close on Friday.
    VZ's 3 month target>>>> $10.60 or lower.

    Market smarts:
    NEVER BUY AN AUTO STOCK WHEN ENTERING A RECESSION AND INTEREST RATES CLIMBING! :sneaky:
     
    #2964     Jul 10, 2022
  5. Good Morning I am making a large purchase this week- I have held off buying something new at the HF since MRTX... that one came with lots of drama I won't get into.. but they didn't want me in, I yelled and forced the issue, I scored huge, I gloated they got mad...

    Got to get a handle on that gloating...

    To represent the new idea in the Radio Savant portfolio I will remove ABB today.

    The stock to buy for your IRA's and other is Aerojet Rocketdyne. This is a name I am extremely close to having covered it for ten or so years. There was a big huge board fight with an agitator and our female CEO beat him to the ground and won.!<---- AJRD also coughed up a $9 mil fine to DOJ... I would say the decks are cleared.

    I don't expect anyone reading this to remember but there was a take out deal for this company about a year ago that was broken up for anti trust concerns... The belief here is that Private equity will buy this company and until then they are in a good place.



    Global investments in defense tied to the war in Ukraine are soaring, Russia is threatening the use of hypersonic weapons--thus the immediate need for the US to develop advanced hypersonics.

    -$190 million in free cash flow next year based on close to $50 million in capital expenditures
    - AJRD has a three-year deal with Lockheed to produce propulsion for PAC3 missiles, which are part of the Patriot system.<--------

    ALL OF NATO NEEDS PATRIOT SYSTEMS I THINK!>

    During 2021, we continued to expand our strong legacy propulsion franchises on the Standard Missile, Patriot Advanced Capability-3 ("PAC-3"), Terminal High Altitude Area Defense ("THAAD") and Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System ("GMLRS") missile programs, to include executing a three-year production contract with Lockheed Martin for PAC3 propulsion elements to include the Missile Segment Enhancement rocket motor, the Attitude Control Motors, and Lethality Enhancer. These franchise programs continue to be globally deployed in support of U.S. and allied armed forces.

    With a market cap of $3.3 billion and more than 5,000 customers, the company is the 19th-largest stock-listed US defense company.

    BUY OF THE DAY/WEEK- AJRD-$40.85
     
    #2965     Jul 11, 2022
  6. VAN FORD reports soon and The expectations are for Ford to report normalized EPS of $0.43 for the second-quarter, but earnings estimates have been down-graded 10 times in the last ninety days.

    WHY-? NOT RECESSION-- THERE IS NO RECESSION!

    Equity valuation loss related to investment in EV maker Rivian
    Ford is set to disclose another significant loss on its investment in electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian later this month. Ford’s equity investment in Rivian was valued at $5.1B at the end of the first-quarter and it was because of Rivian’s stock under-performance in Q1’22 that Ford had to record a$5.4B mark-to-market losslast quarter.

    Rivian’s stock valuation has dropped approximately 49% in the second-quarter which means that fair value accounting rules require Ford to report another billion-dollar equity valuation loss for Q2’22. Ford did address itsRivian problemby selling shares in the second-quarter, reducing its exposure to the EV company by approximately 15M shares. The car brand still retained a considerable position in Rivian totaling 86,947,494 shares and the remaining share block was worth approximately $2.2B at the end of the second-quarter. Because of the continual decline in Rivian’s share price and considering stock sales that have occurred in May, Ford is set to reveal an impairment loss exceeding $2.0B for Q2'22.

    My instinct is to buy off any earnings day weakness, but we shall see.

    HEADLINES-

    Meta slips as Needham downgrades over 'deteriorating' fundamentals, structural risks

    Nord Stream 1 goes offline for maintenance: Will Russia turn it back on?

    Starbucks pulls new chicken sandwich for not meeting quality standard
     
    #2966     Jul 11, 2022
  7. TODAY- GUMMY-!

    BUY Agile Therapeutics, Inc. (AGRX)
    Nasdaq CM - NasdaqCM Real Time Price.
    0.6850-0.0400(-5.52%)
    At close: July 8 04:00PM EDT
    0.7379+0.05(+7.72%)<------- Van all day!
    Pre-Market:08:12AM EDT

    H.C. Wainwright doubles Agile Therapeutics target on overturning of Roe 07:50 AGRX H.C. Wainwright analyst Oren Livnat doubled the firm's price target on Agile Therapeutics to $5 from $2.50 and reiterates a Buy rating on the shares. The stock closed Friday down 5% to 69c. Agile's Twirla, the only low-dose transdermal hormonal contraceptive, should have "tailwinds galvanized by the overturning of Roe," Livnat tells investors in a research note. The analyst expects acceleration from "significant growth" in new non-retail channels via the company's Afaxys partnership, its expanded specialty pharmacy network, and the Biden administration enforcing compliance with the Affordable Care Act provisions assuring women straightforward, no-cost access to contraceptives of their and their physician's choice.


    B) FIVN Add To watch list-

    Five9 upside to estimates with market share gains possible, says Canaccord 07:47 FIVN
     
    #2967     Jul 11, 2022
  8. << IDEAS >>

    AJRD

    AGRX

    FIVN

    [​IMG]
    Agile Therapeutics, Inc.
    PRINCETON, N.J., July 08, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Agile Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: AGRX), a women's healthcare company, today announced that Chairman and CEO Al Altomari will be participating in a virtual panel discussion presented by Maxim Group LLC and hosted by M-Vest. Full details on the panel are as follows:

    • Date/Time: Wednesday, July 13, 2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET

    • Panel Title: “A Tipping Point in Women’s Health - Does the SCOTUS Outcome Change the Paradigm in Contraception?”

    • Moderator: Jason McCarthy, Ph.D., Senior Managing Director and Head of Biotechnology Research – Equity Research at Maxim Group

    • Participating Panelists:
      • Al Altomari, CEO, Agile Therapeutics, Inc. (AGRX)

      • Sabrina Martucci Johnson, CEO, Daré Bioscience, Inc. (DARE)<-------

      • Kathy Lee-Sepsick, CEO, Femasys Inc. (FEMY)<--------
     
    #2968     Jul 11, 2022
  9. Also on watch TTD--- $44.50

    The Trade Desk revenue has multiplied from $45 million in 2014 to $1.2 billion in 2021. Likewise, that boosted its gross profit from $32 million to $975 million in that time.<----
     
    #2969     Jul 11, 2022
  10. I am putting together a market prediction missive but I really have zero idea.--

    My initial thoughts long ago I stick with -- I felt S&P 3,800 was a fair level for a shallow recession. And all of my work does show we will get that shallow (hopefully) recession but quite a bit later on than the pros think.

    So that leaves me in a bit of afix. We are at fair value for something that is not here yet...
    If Inflation is the boogie man and it is what does that mean for corporate earn? Well folks have not thought this trough yet- In my view Earnings will be artificially supported by this same horrible inflation. Yes the cost is passed on to the consumer.

    So In my view 4,200- 4,400 S&P can be achieved. I did get another update from the TA guy at Big Pete's firm that I have not looked at. They get me depressed... I may come back with an entirely different view!

    But that's where my head is at-- we are at fair value now and could go higher from here.

    Inflation levels released this Wed / Thurs will grab all the headlines and they should but the actual earnings destruction that has been priced in may be over done. ~stoney
     
    #2970     Jul 11, 2022