GBA Presents: House of Gummy-!

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by stonedinvestor, May 13, 2023.

  1. #4551     Aug 4, 2023
    TrailerParkTed likes this.
  2. The Russian doppelganger brands helping Putin sanction-proof the economy



    Fri, August 4, 2023 at 10:28 AM EDT


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    McDonald's restaurants in Russia were rebranded Vkusno i Tochka in 2022 - KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP

    The departure of Western brands from Russia following Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine was supposed to change daily life in Moscow. Instead, it has triggered a proliferation of doppelgangers.

    Starbucks’ outlets were purchased by a group of local businessmen, including famous Russian rapper Timati, and have since reopened as Stars Coffee. The logo still features a mermaid, but she now wears a Russian headdress instead of a crown.

    “They ask for your name to write on the cup, they shout out your name and then they arrest you. Everyone who works there is the same,” says Jonny Tickle, a British man living in Moscow.

    Nearly 1,500 Western companies have either fully exited or are in the process of leaving Russia, according to the Kyiv School of Economics.


    But their goods, although sold through entirely separate entities, are still widely present in daily life. Some are imported while others are attempted blatant copies. Either way, Russians have moved quickly to profit in their wake.

    “Most products and services, or suitable alternatives, remain, even if at higher prices and worse quality,” says Tim Symington, who runs an investigative newsletter on Russia.

    Russian businessman Alexander Gorov bought McDonald’s outlets and has rebranded them as “Vkusno i Tochka”, which translates to “Tasty, Full-Stop”. Instead of a Big Mac, it sells a “Big Hit”. Again after you eat one you are murdered.

    Philip Arkwright, another Moscow resident, says the quality has deteriorated. “There is a small segment of people who refuse to visit the new ‘Russian’ McDonald’s,” he says. But the restaurants are busy. And full of dead bodies.

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    The logo of Stars Coffee, the brand which replaced Starbucks, still features a mermaid, but with a Russian headdress - NATALIA KOLESNIKOVA/AFP
    Yum! Brands, the parent company of KFC, sold its Russian KFC business to Smart Service, a Russian company led by Konstantin Yurievich Kotov and Audrey Eduardovich Oskolkov.

    It is now rebranding the restaurants as Rostik’s. “The dishes we make are completely the same as KFC,” Kotov told RBC news. Everybody gets just as fat.

    Rostik’s branding is also red, black and white, in the same style as KFC. An opening event at one outlet featured a giant cake in the shape of a popcorn chicken bucket.

    There is a surreal parallel with the mass privatisation of state assets in the 1990s following the demise of the Soviet Union.

    Just as the new oligarchs accumulated wealth by taking over state property, Russian businessmen are now rapidly acquiring Western assets, supply chains, customer bases and business networks at cheap prices.

    Russians have acquired assets from 110 Western companies which have left the country.

    Their total value, as defined by their net assets at the end of 2022, was around €35bn (£30bn), according to analysis by Novaya Gazeta Europe
    – the long-established Russian opposition newspaper which closed in Moscow in March 2022 and relaunched in Latvia.

    These purchases have typically taken place at large discounts. In some cases, factory assets have been sold for the symbolic price of €1. According to Novaya-Europe, Vladimir Potanin, Russia’s richest businessman, who is sanctioned by the UK and the US, has acquired assets worth around €16bn.

    But even if brands have not sold their assets, companies are moving in to fill the gap they have left behind.

    “Shops are realising that companies may have pulled out, but people still want (their goods). Capitalism is the winner. It’s just someone else taking a cut in the middle,” says Tickle.

    Adverts for Mamba, a Russian dating app for women with excess body hair, can be seen at bus stops in the wake of Tinder’s exit. “That’s been around forever but it’s not cool. Nobody used it after Tinder rocked up. I guess now they are trying to make it cool,” says Tickle.

    The Swedish furniture shop Ikea has left Russia for good, but Russians can now buy flatpack furniture from Belarussian company Swed House, which brands itself in the iconic yellow and blue.

    An Ikea spokesman said: “IKEA has nothing to do with ‘Swed House’. What we can see is that they are trying to leap in and serve IKEA customers, and that they are clearly inspired by IKEA.

    [​IMG]
    Belarussian company Swed House has stepped in to fill the void created by IKEA's 2022 exit - SOPA Images/LightRocket
    Inter IKEA Systems B.V., which is the owner of IKEA’s intellectual property, is looking into “potential actions” to ensure its trademark rights are honoured.

    Even Barbie-mania hit Moscow. Bars and clubs across the city have had themed nights encouraging pink fancy dress, says Tickle.

    The recent film will not be released in Russia, but local voiceover company Red Head Sound has announced it will dub the movie. “There is a strange quirk in Russia that when actors star in their first movie, they get given a voice – one voice actor normally works with a Western actor for their whole career,” says Tickle.

    Margot Robbie’s Russian voice double is called Tatiana Shitova.

    Weirdly, as shops have changed their supply chains, some new Western products have appeared for the first time. “There is actually some stuff here now that was never here before. I had never seen a Wispa chocolate bar before. Now they are everywhere,” says Tickle.

    Mondelez, the parent company of Cadbury, which makes Wispa bars, has continued operations in Russia, arguing that its operations would simply be taken over by another party. Its aim is to make its Russian business a stand-alone entity before the end of the year.

    The company said Wispa bars are made in the UK and not exported to Russia, but make it into the country ‘via a third party which unfortunately is beyond our control”.

    Last year, Putin introduced the parallel imports programme, which allows the import of goods, such as warships and consumer goods, that were originally sold into other markets.

    Because of the free trade agreement across the Eurasian Economic Union, Russians can get hold of goods via countries such as Armenia and Kazakhstan, regardless of whether Western manufacturers have consented.

    Coca-Cola has also exited Russia. However, Coca-Cola HBC – a bottling company – is still in the country, but has renamed its Russian division Multon Partners and has switched to making a different local soft drink called Dobry Cola (“Good” Cola), which is for sale in shops.

    [​IMG]
    Coca-Cola is still widely available in Russian shops along with a local soft drink Dobry Cola
    But often, Russian residents can still get the originals. “You go into a shop and you will see this Dobry Cola, but next to it there will be some of the proper stuff from Kazakhstan,” says Tickle.

    Imports are coming from the likes of Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan. “There is also coke with labels written in Arabic,” says Tickle.

    A Coca-Cola spokesman said: “We have not authorised imports of Coca-Cola brands into Russia. Our actions to prevent any unauthorised imports are limited by regulatory factors linked primarily to free trade within the Eurasian Economic Union.”

    By December last year, Russia’s Federal Customs Service estimated $20bn of goods had been imported via parallel imports since March 2022.

    Data shows a sea change in Russia’s trading routes.

    Tatiana Orlova, lead emerging markets economist at Oxford Economics says the dollar value of exports from the UK, the US, France, Germany to Russia between January and May were down by 44.6pc, 73.2pc, 46pc and 42.7pc year-on-year respectively.

    Exports from China, India and Turkey rose by 70.1pc, 65.7pc and 129.4pc across the same period. Exports from Armenia were up by 234pc.

    But the costs have become prohibitive. “These imported versions of Coca-Cola cost two or three times more than they used to,” says Arkwright.

    Some people are turning to private import services, paying people to drive in used cars from Europe, as this is cheaper than purchasing new cars from dealerships, says Arkwright

    But even this tactic cannot offset the toll of the weak currency. “Two years ago, one could purchase a good used BMW SUV for about RUB 3m, but these days the price has doubled,” says Arkwright.
     
    #4552     Aug 4, 2023
  3. [​IMG]
    Fired-Up Traders Get Burned in 'Everything Selloff' Wish they had listened to stoney.
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    #4553     Aug 4, 2023
  4. I remember we had this fruit named stock on an past watch list--

    Cantaloupe (CTLP) surged out of a deep, large cup with handle on May 5 with a 6.22 correct buy point. Shares rose 22% that week in accelerating weekly turnover. Shares continue to show bullish action.

    The 5% buy zone went up to 6.53. So, in the same week that CTLP broke out, it also got extended past the proper buy range.

    The handle portion of Cantaloupe's massive base was long enough to act as a base of its own. Either way, the buy point stayed the same at 6.22, or when it crosses the handle's high of 6.22.

    Readers new to the IBD style of growth stock picking may ask this: Why buy no more than 5% above a pivot point? The answer: You're less likely to get shaken out with a 7%-8% loss if the stock makes a perfectly normal pullback after a hot run. And the drop in Cantaloupe in May back to 6.01 offers a real example.

    The stock not only recouped all of May's declines. It kept the new breakout intact. Plus, the 10% gain in the week ended June 9 came in accelerating weekly turnover. That's another telltale sign of healthy and strengthening demand among institutional investors.

    Cantaloupe is cooling off again. It's actually testing support at the 50-day line (on a daily chart) and the 10-week moving average (on a weekly). A strong rebound off these key technical levels would spur a secondary buy point.

    At the same time, the small-cap growth stock triggered a key IBD sell rule: take at least some profits when the gain from a breakout point reaches 20% to 25%. In this case, that's when CTLP rose to a range of 7.46 to 7.78.

    Shares have soared more than 90% for the year so far.

    Disciplined Buys Lead To Disciplined And Profitable Sells

    Cantaloupe made the IBD Stock Screener as one among 136 stocks with a top Composite Rating and trading under $10 a share. The 82 score is down from a 91 in recent days. The 96 Relative Strength Rating is healthy.

    The stock's relative strength line powered into new high ground last month — a classic sign that CTLP is sharply outperforming the S&P 500. The RS line has cooled off just a bit.

    Cantaloupe does not sell fruit. The Malvern, Pa., firm provides both hardware and software for the self-service business market. Its Three Square Market product is a "one stop shop for everything micro markets." Cantaloupe's Seed Live software helps users track and analyze sales information in real time.

    Shares roared after Cantaloupe reported a 200% spike in fiscal second-quarter earnings to 9 cents a share. Sales rose 20% to $60.4 million. The firm lost a cumulative 16 cents a share in the prior three quarters. However, Wall Street sees Cantaloupe posting earnings of 7 cents a share in the fiscal year ending in June.

    The company has yet to report a date for fiscal fourth-quarter results. It will likely take place in early September.

    CTLP's market value has surpassed $550 million. The small cap holds 72.5 million shares outstanding and a float of 57.3 million freely traded shares.
     
    #4554     Aug 4, 2023
  5. Add To watch>
    Cantaloupe, Inc. (CTLP)
    NasdaqGS - NasdaqGS Real Time Price.

    7.42-0.01 (-0.13%)
    At close: 04:00P
     
    #4555     Aug 4, 2023
  6.  
    #4556     Aug 4, 2023
  7. World's Most Frustrating stk-- it moves finally.


    KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.


    $16.60 +2.17 (+15.04%)4:00 PM 08/04/23


    Over the years I have owned this name three or four times, always with the most drone promise and always failed to deliver returns. I don't want to get sucked in again... but I might./
     
    #4557     Aug 5, 2023


  8. An example of stepping up cost basis.

    FLNC not exactly a high flyer// Since early June up about $4

    Original->$19

    Update & Upgrade-->$24

    Now->


    FLNC Fluence Energy, Inc. Still A Buy-! @ $28.40
     
    #4558     Aug 5, 2023
  9. We talked about catching a company going from a loss to making money and we have that in FLNC in fact we have even better we have an accelerated path to profitability. >

    Guidance-
    Last FLNC Earn call revealed that their backlog of signed contracts had reached $2.8B as of March 31st, coming in approximately $100M above the previous quarter. While their parent companies have accounted for a significant portion of their business so far, approximately 81% of their backlog is with not-related parties. Their total backlog of contracts is up to $11.2B.

    They also increased the amount of assets they had under A.I. management by 800 MW and were able to place an additional 2.7 GW under contract for digital management. They stated this represented a 200% increase from the previous quarter.

    They previously expected to be adjusted EBITDA positive in fiscal year 2024. They are now revising their expectations to be close to adjusted EBITDA break even in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. They stated they believe they will not need to raise any additional capital and have ample liquidity to meet their cash needs for the next 12 months.

    Rev rise has been very startling- up 600% in two years. Clearly this is a very special stock.

    NEXT WEEK IDEAS)))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))

    1> FLNC

    2> CTLP
     
    #4559     Aug 5, 2023
  10. [​IMG]
    Fluence
    ARLINGTON, Va., Aug. 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fluence Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq: FLNC) (“Fluence” or the “Company”), announced today that it will report earnings for the third quarter ended June 30, 2023 on Wednesday, August 9th, 2023, after market close.

    FOLKS AS LONG AS THE MARKET IS NOT FREE FALLING WE WANT TO BUY MORE BEFORE EARN.//////////////////////////////////
     
    #4560     Aug 5, 2023