Gambling and trading

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by Q3D, Oct 18, 2015.

  1. Visaria

    Visaria

    "I am not well qualified to criticize the theory of rational expectations and the efficient market hypothesis because as a market participant I considered them so unrealistic that I never bothered to study them."

    - George Soros
     
    #21     Oct 18, 2015
    VPhantom, kut2k2, d08 and 1 other person like this.
  2. J_Smith

    J_Smith


  3. It's the exact same thing with price charts. why these folks find that difficult to believe is that they themselves have been duped.

    surf
     
    #23     Oct 19, 2015

  4. Soros is under pressure to "support the very markets he trades in" due to his size--- only a moron would tell the truth to the press in soro's position and soros is far from a moron. surf
     
    #24     Oct 19, 2015
  5. Visaria

    Visaria

    No one has a monopoly on the truth.

    However, if one trades and has been successfully trading for some time, one comes to the same conclusion as Soros.
     
    #25     Oct 19, 2015
    d08 likes this.
  6. Q3D

    Q3D

    This explains price behavior in futures and stocks far better than any trading teacher has done yet:

    In probability theory, a stochastic (/stoʊˈkæstɪk/) process, or often random process, is a collection of random variables, representing the evolution of some system of random values over time. This is the probabilistic counterpart to a deterministic process (or deterministic system). Instead of describing a process which can only evolve in one way (as in the case, for example, of solutions of an ordinary differential equation), in a stochastic or random process there is some indeterminacy: even if the initial condition (or starting point) is known, there are several (often infinitely many) directions in which the process may evolve.
     
    #26     Oct 19, 2015
    marketsurfer likes this.
  7. And other traders are not? Or are they different because they play tennis with you, or you swim in their pool?
     
    #27     Oct 21, 2015
    d08 likes this.
  8. No, most of us, myself included are micro parasites riding on the back of the greats like the dark lord pallidrome--- no comparision.
     
    #28     Oct 21, 2015
    HungryMind1200 likes this.