If you took a short at the 10:20 bar end (60 minute chart), then profit would be taken on that chart at 1.27860
Nice move down so far today. I know there was a bunch of news coming out today, so I guess that helped. I dont know what the reports showed because I believe that its already priced into the Euro. Thats not to say I dont pay attention to big news, mainly FOMC. But I used to let the news scare me from a trade, but I try not to let that happen any more. Looks like your short is going to work nice. Do you have established profit objectives or do you exit on a trail stop?
For the daily trades, I will trail the stop , but when I get near the 400 pip target , I bring those trailing stops in much closer. Weekly charts, I am interested in 1000 pips . The profit target layout is in the previous post. I am defining the profit target zones, so that I may return to some intraday trading to enhance my positional profits. In the past, I was trying to let the intraday trades run too far and trying to milk everything out of the trade. Intraday is not that way--yes there are those days, but my calculations and research show that I can actually make more with the targets and forgo some of the big moves. I will not trade ES anymore intraday, but as I have indicated before in the ES Journal, the Currency charts are much easier to read due to the fact of more continuous overnight activity. Note: The longer frame charts should give me the big moves.
I really cant stand the ES. It's really too choppy and noisy for me. If anything I like the NQ. But I have a nice selection with the euro, qm, and es/nq. Trades everyday somewhere, just gotta figure out which ones are the good ones. I guess thats half the fun ( or heartache )
You have slightly confused me by what seems to be a typo "ES" on your 15 min chart, so I just went by the hourly.
Hello B1S2 - just wanted to interject that I have been following your thread and have found it to be very interesting and well presented - thank you for your efforts and I hope you will stay with it. I've only recently become better acquainted with the 240 min chart, and am finding it to be a very good directional indicator per the EuroFX. When the setups appear on this chart, it serves a person well to take notice. As a daytrader, I have found it much easier to drill down into the lower timeframes to find a trigger which is biased from this chart. You have stated that your forte is position trading, and I have a question pertaining to time frames. Do you feel that a daytrader can impose limits on his universe? In other words, I'm wondering if he can cut off his perspective of the mkt at the minor trend level, and not be concerned with the intermediate and major trends. Personally speaking, my pea brain starts bogging down when I begin to factor in all what the daily, weekly and monthly charts are showing, since they are often at odds with one another. Should this matter if I'm targeting 20-40 ticks/trade? To take a stab at your question: I would have to say no, provided that this is all the hypothetical information available. The price decline was not precipitated from a bearish divergence, and currently on your chart, the rsi is coming up out of oversold territory while the macd is displaying a positive slope. And, price has been hugging the lower band for a while. Of course, it solely depends on the scope of the trade, but if daytrading, I would look to re-enter after a bit more correction. Finally, if I could utter my thoughts about the current state of affairs with the euro. This is just my take on the mkt from viewing the 240 min chart. The mkt began a minor uptrend off the low @ 1.2503 on 7/19. This uptrend line was broken with penetration and a close below on 8/23. Since that day, price has entered into consolidation, and displaying an upward bias off the low on 8/25 (which, incidentally, provided a nice rsi/macd bullish divergence). Should price be able to significantly take out the 1.2740 level, I think it safe to say that a confirmed minor downtrend will have been initiated. I'd be very interested to hear your critique of this assesment. Best of luck w/ your trades, B1S2 ...