Fully automated futures trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by globalarbtrader, Feb 11, 2015.

  1. FCT

    FCT

    Got it, thanks. Appreciate your insights, don't leave ET!
     
    #701     Mar 30, 2017
  2. isotope1

    isotope1

    Hi GAT,

    Just a quick question on how you collect settlement prices. I'm currently collecting data from Quandl en-masse at 2.30pm UK time and trading then, once a day.
    • What's really the best way to do this? Should I be collecting settlement prices from IB on-close and firing off market orders while the market is shut?
    • Given that different futures settle at different times, how do you account for this, if at all?
    (FYI I find Quandl's updates are not timely for all futures).
     
    #702     Mar 31, 2017
  3. If you're trading a slow system (sufficiently slow that daily prices are fine anyway) it doesn't matter so much what you do, and different settlement times are also irrelevant (just make sure that any cross sectional system you are using is slow enough to be robust to this, and I'd also advise weekly aggregating before calculating correlations).

    So what you do is as fine as any other method, although I wouldn't advise firing off market orders when the market is shut...

    GAT
     
    #703     Mar 31, 2017
  4. Hi GAT,

    Are there any plans to add additional systems to pysystemtrade in the near term, such as e.g., cross sectional strategies?

    Also, will your QuantCon talk be recorded and/or will you place the slides on your website?

    Can't wait to see your new book!

    Thanks
     
    #704     Apr 5, 2017
  5. truetype

    truetype

    AHL #s out.. Mar/YTD/12Mo Alpha -1.9/-0.8/-7.4, Dim -0.4/-0.1/-5.4, Div -3.0/-1.8/-13.9, Evo +0.6/+2.8/+1.4
     
    #705     Apr 6, 2017
  6. Yes to additional systems at some point.

    I believe the talk will be recorded, but I don't know if that will be accessible afterwards. I will put slides on my website however.

    GAT
     
    #706     Apr 7, 2017
  7. Thanks, clearly not a great year for trend following. My YTD is -0.3% and 12M p&l is around +5% both to April 6th (UK tax year so not exactly the same) but I'll do a more comprehensive report in a week or so.

    GAT
     
    #707     Apr 7, 2017
  8. I am pleased to report that there is a full review of my 12 month performance (UK tax year, ends April 5th) in the usual place.

    Other figures, YTD I am flat. Since the last update (December 21st) up to today the picture looks like this:

    P&L to date: 95.8%
    P&L since last report: -0.6%
    Drawdown (HWM set in August): 11.8%

    Positions:
    Code:
           code contractid  positions   Lock WrongContract InFwdNotRoll
    3       AEX     201705          2  False         False        False
    5       AUD     201706         -1  False         False        False
    4       BTP     201706          2  False         False        False
    20      CAC     201705          3  False         False        False
    7      CORN     201712         -4  False         False        False
    1   EDOLLAR     202012         -1  False         False        False
    14  EDOLLAR     202009         -2  False         False        False
    15      EUR     201706         -1  False         False        False
    9   EUROSTX     201706         -6  False         False        False  (hedge)
    13     GOLD     201706          1  False         False        False
    12  LIVECOW     201710          1  False         False        False
    0       MXP     201706          1  False         False        False
    16   NASDAQ     201706          1  False         False        False
    6       OAT     201706          3  False         False        False
    11   PALLAD     201706          1  False         False        False
    10      SMI     201706          3  False         False        False
    19  SOYBEAN     201711         -4  False         False        False
    2       V2X     201706         -1  False         False        False
    8       V2X     201705        -18  False         False        False
    17      VIX     201705         -4  False         False        False
    18    WHEAT     201712         -6  False         False        False
    
    Risk:

    Code:
           code  multisignal  expected_annual_risk  expected_annual_risk_per_contract  position  expected_annual_risk_rounded_pos
    28      MXP          4.7                  3767                               2658         1                              2658
    2   LIVECOW          4.6                  3695                               3948         1                              3948
    31     GOLD          7.7                  6231                               9668         1                              9668
    8       BTP         11.0                  8884                               5531         2                             11061
    20      CAC         15.7                 12706                               3839         3                             11516
    22   NASDAQ         10.8                  8765                               5791         2                             11583
    32   PALLAD         16.7                 13463                              11889         1                             11889
    19      AEX         18.6                 15024                               7542         2                             15085
    10      OAT         18.4                 14904                               5463         3                             16389
    21      SMI         18.6                 15024                               5596         3                             16789
    
    36  EDOLLAR         -4.7                  3793                               1613        -3                              4840
    24      AUD         -7.0                  5689                               4894        -1                              4894
    25      EUR        -13.0                 10507                               7509        -1                              7509
    0      CORN        -11.2                  9022                               1960        -4                              7840
    16      V2X        -14.3                 11557                                560       -21                             11762
    17      VIX        -18.1                 14661                               3587        -4                             14349
    3   SOYBEAN        -20.7                 16722                               3634        -4                             14535
    4     WHEAT        -20.6                 16653                               2845        -6                             17070
    
    
    GAT
     
    #708     Apr 11, 2017
    drm7, HobbyTrading, truetype and 3 others like this.
  9. truetype

    truetype

    AHL Evo up for an award in June -

    http://www.mfpawards.com/
    The Managed Futures Pinnacle Awards
    5-Year Best Diversified CTA ($500 million+ AUM)
    Man AHL (AHL Evolution)
     
    #709     Apr 11, 2017
  10. There is an important point that I didn't put in the blog post which I've mentioned before here; I believe it's pretty difficult / dangerous to earn your living purely from trading; in the sense that you should never be in a position where you have to make money every year, never mind every single month.

    Cutting through all the numbers my main futures trading strategy lost around $70,000 last year (fortunately coming off the back of two significantly positive years, and coinciding with an significant up year in my 'equity hedge' and long only portfolios). But I had sufficient other income (some book sales and other bits and pieces; but mainly dividends from my long only portfolio) that I can be completely relaxed about dropping that kind of money and still being able to pay the mortgage and other bills that a family of five (+cat) accrues.

    GAT
     
    #710     Apr 11, 2017
    Spectre2007 and Occam like this.