Fully automated futures trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by globalarbtrader, Feb 11, 2015.

  1. I use the same weights as for everything else, because I'm not an overfitting monkey....

    I don't use just momentum and carry, so a better way to answer your question is to tell you what I have in 'divergent' (like momentum) and 'convergent' (like carry):

    Code:
        groups:
          trendy:
            weight: 0.6
            speed1:
              weight: 0.16667
              relmomentum10: 0.2
              breakout10: 0.2
              assettrend2: 0.2
              normmom2: 0.2
              momentum4: 0.2
            speed2:
              weight: 0.16667
              accel16: 0.1667
              relmomentum20: 0.16667
              breakout20: 0.16667
              assettrend4: 0.16667
              normmom4: 0.16667
              momentum8: 0.16667
            speed3:
              weight: 0.16667
              accel32: 0.1667
              relmomentum40: 0.16667
              breakout40: 0.16667
              assettrend8: 0.16667
              normmom8: 0.16667
              momentum16: 0.16667
            speed4:
              weight: 0.16667
              accel64: 0.1667
              relmomentum80: 0.16667
              breakout80: 0.16667
              assettrend16: 0.16667
              normmom16: 0.16667
              momentum32: 0.16667
            speed5:
              weight: 0.16667
              breakout160: 0.25
              assettrend32:  0.25
              normmom32: 0.25
              momentum64:  0.25
            speed6:
              weight: 0.16667
              breakout320: 0.3333
              assettrend64:  0.3333
              normmom64: 0.3333
          not_trendy:
            weight: 0.4
            mean_reversion:
              weight: 0.333
              mrinasset1000: 1.0
            skew:
              weight: 0.333
              skewabs365: 0.25
              skewabs180: 0.25
              skewrv365: 0.25
              skewrv180: 0.25
            carry:
              weight: 0.333
              abs_carry:
                weight: 0.6
                carry10: 0.25
                carry30: 0.25
                carry60: 0.25
                carry125: 0.25
              rel_carry:
                weight: 0.4
                relcarry: 1.0
    
    Exact weights will depend on the market trading costs, but the top level there is 'trendy': 0.6 and not trendy 0.4; so the same 60:40 weights in AFTS.

    No, I wouldn't advise it. Unlike trend, carry doesn't cut your position automatically when it moves against you.

    Rob
     
    Spacious likes this.
  2. klander

    klander

    Understood, I will use 60:40.

    Thanks a lot, Rob!