Full documentation of my streak of 44 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by mrmarket, Nov 28, 2003.

  1. There have been several requests from traders on this forum to see documentation of the trades in my streak. I have decided to formally document my incredible streak of 44 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. You know when ESPN did that graphic to show all of Barry Bonds’ 73 home run swings? Pretty cool, right?

    For historical purposes, I felt it important that I show the documentation for all of my trades as they were posted on the internet (most of them on Yahoo message boards). These posts validate the time stamps when I entered the positions in real time. So here they are:


    # STOCK DATE IN DATE OUT PAID SOLD GAIN
    1 DHOM 1/8/2002 1/30/2002 15.30 17.75 16%
    2 GNWR 1/3/2002 4/9/2002 21.38 24.80 16%
    3 SAH 1/31/2002 4/9/2002 28.05 32.49 16%
    4 ANH 1/10/2002 4/22/2002 9.73 11.30 16%
    5 GAN 4/9/2002 5/1/2002 56.20 65.09 16%
    6 RYL 4/10/2002 5/3/2002 100.35 116.17 16%
    7 JOSB 5/8/2002 5/17/2002 20.58 24.11 17%
    8 MHK 2/20/2002 5/20/2002 60.00 69.66 16%
    9 TENT 5/14/2002 5/21/2002 13.67 15.88 16%
    10 HAMP 6/18/2002 7/9/2002 21.89 25.35 16%
    11 RATE 1/9/2003 1/13/2003 4.30 5.14 20%
    12 LCI 1/24/2003 2/6/2003 20.00 23.40 17%
    13 ODFL 1/3/2003 4/3/2003 29.05 33.77 16%
    14 AVD 8/19/2002 4/14/2003 15.07 17.58 17%
    15 QSII 2/25/2003 5/6/2003 26.14 32.10 23%
    16 JFBC 1/2/2003 5/21/2003 50.90 59.46 17%
    17 LEND 5/19/2003 5/27/2003 13.75 16.47 20%
    18 PORT 2/7/2003 6/2/2003 46.85 53.67 15%
    19 NFI 5/27/2003 6/5/2003 51.45 59.45 16%
    20 DRL 4/7/2003 6/6/2003 37.70 44.02 17%
    21 HITK 5/7/2003 6/16/2003 37.16 45.60 23%
    22 OHB 5/21/2002 6/17/2003 9.92 12.01 21%
    23 FBC 6/6/2003 6/26/2003 20.85 24.24 16%
    24 MBT 5/2/2003 6/26/2003 48.50 57.04 18%
    25 VNBC 4/12/2003 6/30/2003 18.89 21.96 16%
    26 SSYS 6/19/2003 7/7/2003 33.35 38.90 17%
    27 ACMR 4/22/2002 7/14/2003 22.01 25.46 16%
    28 UTSI 7/3/2003 7/16/2003 36.28 41.95 16%
    29 FCFS 7/8/2003 7/21/2003 16.30 18.84 16%
    30 FRED 5/2/2002 8/1/2003 26.23 30.29 15%
    31 SFCC 7/30/2003 9/2/2003 26.01 31.00 19%
    32 ESI 8/7/2003 9/12/2003 39.59 46.38 17%
    33 MDC 7/10/2002 10/1/2003 46.59 54.25 16%
    34 COH 6/9/2003 10/14/2003 25.75 30.21 17%
    35 ARO 10/3/2003 10/14/2003 28.90 33.62 16%
    36 NARA 7/25/2003 10/16/2003 18.91 21.94 16%
    37 DKS 7/29/2003 10/29/2003 39.99 47.21 18%
    38 WRLD 6/3/2003 10/29/2003 14.43 18.63 29%
    39 WLS 10/16/2003 10/29/2003 54.10 62.76 16%
    40 GRMN 5/23/2003 10/29/2003 45.91 53.00 15%
    41 JBSS 10/24/2003 10/30/2003 28.37 34.13 20%
    42 FINL 9/29/2003 11/3/2003 27.13 31.39 16%
    43 CLSR 10/31/2003 11/24/2003 30.47 35.14 15%
    44 AMHC 7/14/2003 11/28/2003 41.00 47.96 17%


    1. DHOM

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079832&tid=dhom&sid=7079832&mid=192

    2. GNWR (message board deleted)

    3. SAH

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729459&tid=sah&sid=8729459&mid=721

    4. ANH

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600408672&tid=anh&sid=1600408672&mid=252

    5. GAN (Message board deleted)

    6. RYL

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7080119&tid=ryl&sid=7080119&mid=1483

    7. JOSB

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082672&tid=josb&sid=7082672&mid=2193

    8. MHK
    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729273&tid=mhk&sid=8729273&mid=848

    9. TENT

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=11545228&tid=tent&sid=11545228&mid=398



    10. HAMP

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7077685&tid=hamp&sid=7077685&mid=85

    11. RATE

    Board did not exist prior to purchase but some commentary post-sale:

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=15529269&tid=rate&sid=15529269&mid=19

    12. LCI

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1601298180&tid=lci&sid=1601298180&mid=594

    13. ODFL

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7083322&tid=odfl&sid=7083322&mid=101

    14. AVD

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7083322&tid=odfl&sid=7083322&mid=101

    15. QSII

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=4687052&tid=qsii&sid=4687052&mid=1571

    16. JFBC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=9133403&tid=jfbc&sid=9133403&mid=23

    17. LEND

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1605307757&tid=lend&sid=1605307757&mid=263


    18. PORT

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600811417&tid=port&sid=1600811417&mid=71

    19. NFI

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729314&tid=nfi&sid=8729314&mid=20355

    20. DRL

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7081669&tid=dorl&sid=7081669&mid=1261

    21. HITK

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7076901&tid=hitk&sid=7076901&mid=3780

    22. OHB

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079885&tid=ohb&sid=7079885&mid=369

    23. FBC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600424466&tid=fbc&sid=1600424466&mid=474

    24. MBT

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1601028357&tid=mbt&sid=1601028357&mid=176

    25. VNBC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=1605578725&tid=vnbc&sid=1605578725&mid=2


    26. SSYS

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=4687191&tid=ssys&sid=4687191&mid=5342

    27. ACMR

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7080470&tid=acmr&sid=7080470&mid=2304

    28. UTSI

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...=1600640741&tid=utsi&sid=1600640741&mid=26581

    29. FCFS

    Deleted by Yahoo

    30. FRED

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082098&tid=fred&sid=7082098&mid=863

    31. SFCC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601151258&tid=sfc&sid=1601151258&mid=4564

    32. ESI

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082624&tid=esi&sid=7082624&mid=511

    33. MDC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079999&tid=mdc&sid=7079999&mid=679

    34. COH

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601151168&tid=coh&sid=1601151168&mid=1786



    35. ARO

    (post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

    http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ight=aro&sid=77d61242c6f07b89ade7eefad8c27398

    36. NARA

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1600905304&tid=nara&sid=1600905304&mid=286

    37. DKS

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601719120&tid=dks&sid=1601719120&mid=1264

    38. WRLD

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7084716&tid=wrld&sid=7084716&mid=478

    39. WLS

    (post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

    http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ight=wls&sid=98bb5eb5e68300979f6df832d0cb4c7d

    40. GRMN

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...d=1602585190&tid=grmn&sid=1602585190&mid=2183

    41. JBSS

    (post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

    http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=148&highlight=jbss





    42. FINL

    (post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

    http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ght=finl&sid=4c7c669281570a65ea7a95d07ca50321

    43. CLSR

    (post never entered on Yahoo but listed on Elite Trader)

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=362233&highlight=clsr#post362233

    44. AMHC

    http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7076543&tid=amhc&sid=7076543&mid=1517

    The good news is that the streak is still alive and growing. I’d be happy to answer any questions you have if you email me:

    ebarsamian2003@yahoo.com


    Average returns are for average investors. Superior returns are for superior investors. I am HUGE!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.
     
  2. Mr. Market. This must have taken a lot of energy for you to track all this down. I have one question......

    What does I am huge mean? Could you elaborate?

    Michael B.

     

  3. When you are HUGE, the rest of the world is smaller, relatively speaking.
     

  4. So physically speaking? .....don't be shy...


    Michael B.
     
  5. speaking literarally rather than figuratively, i saw the picture of you flexing. you've got some work to do. on your results, congrats on your success. i wonder how you would've done had we not been in a bull market, with the NASDAQ up what, 40% so.
     
  6. Actually, one of the criteria of my screens is that I buy a stock at or near its high. So even if we are in a bear market, I'm still buying a stock that has been performing well and has good quantitative momentum. I don't do as many trades in a bear market as in a bull market.

    The streak I referenced started in 2002 and you can see, not many of my positions were taken early in that year.
     
  7. Nice bit of work, mrmuscle. So - Did you actually make any money, too?
    Since it's almost a year of trading, I hope you got at least a few hundred K out of those deals...
    Otherwise - wouldn't exactly be huge, would it? :)

    Best,
    Scientist.
     
  8. gms

    gms

    One boring day recently, much like today, I created a chronological documentation of mr.m's 53 trades over the past two years (wins and losses) to get a better likely idea of the performance (see http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=370421#post370421 ).

    I think we all saw that, at best, it averaged a 12.6% return per trade over an average trade duration of 4 months. The trades lasted anywhere up to almost two years' hold. We also noted that there were, at best, 14 times mr.m had to bring in new capital for the opportunities as they arose (because his capital was tied up in holding losses in every case save one). We could tell nothing of his position sizing except to deduce that it appeared to be either papertrading or very small positions, due to this consistent capital infusion need.

    mr.m was asked to clarify a few points that came up in that analysis, among them, the exact sequence of trades, in order to form a more accurate picture, but as of this writing there has been no such trade sequence forthcoming. Just a rehash of the same old, same old.

    When shown an example of how a technical method (not technical analysis) could be applied to his trades to eliminate the capital infusion need, to reap profits without the long holding times, in effect, to better its performance, mr.m seems unwilling to explore those options.

    His many and constant ploys and manuevers in answering questions notwithstanding, one has to then begin to ascertain why he continues to be steadfastly proud about his mediocre performance, why he is reluctant to answer specific questions, and why he answers some of the questions in the manner he does. Some of you are way ahead of me on this, but I think, and forgive me if I'm wrong but this is the opinion I've formed after reviewing his material and considering his answers and non-answers, that there's something either very wrong with this gentleman or that he's a kid pretending to be someone else by posting on this site, and/or that he was one of the worst students in his class.
     
  9. bebe

    bebe

    I checked the details and the chart of your last trade on the list (44 AMHC 7/14/2003 11/28/2003 41.00 47.96 17%) and I have a question.
    You bought AMHC right at the top, after a 5-week runup ($41.00). Only 5 days later the price dropped to $29.35 and it stayed below your purchase price for the next 10 weeks or so (the first time you broke even was 09/23/2003). Then it got hammered two more times and you just stayed long. Finally after waiting for 15 weeks or so you sold it today into today's runup.
    Question: it never bothered you that just one week after your purchase, you were down 30%? And that you were under the water for the next 10 weeks? What kind of money management do you apply in your trading?
    Thank you!
     
  10. Bolts

    Bolts

    C'mon people, can't you tell when someone is toying with you? :p
     
    #10     Nov 28, 2003