Frosty's e-mini journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by frostengine, Jun 14, 2006.

  1. btw I have to say the market is acting VERY strangely.. if anything I thought we'd gap DOWN not up to start the day with the fed meeting this afternoon.. I am not sure what to make of all this confidence in the markets on such a big day.....
     
    #241     Jun 29, 2006
  2. boro45

    boro45

    IMHO, that was a lot of short covering that sent the futures higher pre-market.

    Just be sure that you don't have an open position before the Fed minutes are released. Don't try to guess what is going to happen because both sides will be wrong. The market loves to put in oreo cookies after the minutes come out--up candle, down candle, up candle, etc before settling in.
     
    #242     Jun 29, 2006
  3. I just sim traded the first signal given by my new method today, net +14 pts
     
    #243     Jun 29, 2006
  4. Sim traded second signal given, net +4 pts

    So far, new method is giving me decent signals..... not sure how long I'll keep sim trading it though, but liking outcome thus far
     
    #244     Jun 29, 2006
  5. 4re

    4re

    See how it gets the confidence back up? Keep doing it though. Fight your urges for a few days and be successful.

    4re
     
    #245     Jun 29, 2006
  6. man another signal already, kinda uncommon... oh well,just simed 3rd signal, got stopped out net -3

    Not bad.. I can live with that kind of trade
     
    #246     Jun 29, 2006
  7. +12 on another trade... I dont know why all these signals are apearing all of a sudden... at least its keeping me busy, makes me regret not trading in real money today! oh well..... at least i'm getting a feel for how this new method works
     
    #247     Jun 29, 2006
  8. Could this be a good time to short? I mean the market has run so hard this morning and with such market changing news comming this afternoon, makes me think that after the release the market will reverse at least momentarily, enough to catch a pretty nice gain.... I know it can go higher as well, but anything short of saying hey we done raising rates, has to cause the market to pull back at least some from this level.......

    Thoughts? I probalbly wont play this, but I'm very tempted
     
    #248     Jun 29, 2006
  9. Just simmed another entry..... Stoped out for 3 pt loss... thus far i think I'm liking this method, cant say much considering its been in such a strong uptrend....... curious to see how this method handles the choppiness this afternoon with fed
     
    #249     Jun 29, 2006
  10. boro45

    boro45

    Trying to guess market reaction after the a Fed decision is a great way to lose money. Everybody and their brother has priced in a 25 basis point increase. It's the language these days that has become the more important consideration.

    There are a lot of folks out there who think another rate hike is coming in August. If the Fed hints that this may be the case, I would expect to see a sell off. However, if there's a hint that they may take a breather, you could see buyers step in.

    The point is that we don't know what will happen so trying to guess is likely to cost you money, not make it.
     
    #250     Jun 29, 2006