Free left tail convexity. Am I kidding myself?

Discussion in 'Options' started by tman, May 20, 2023.

  1. Added profit taking when vix > 60.
    On 12 March 2020 the following were closed:
    945: closing week: maxCloseDate:2020-03-31: result:957% resultAmount:10630,00
    945: closing week: maxCloseDate:2020-04-30: result:1767% resultAmount:20675,00
    945: closing week: maxCloseDate:2020-06-30: result:2624% resultAmount:65995,00
    945: closing week: maxCloseDate:2020-07-31: result:-1080% resultAmount:-32915,00

    At that moment there were 10 long positions and 3 short positions..
     
    #71     May 25, 2023
  2. In the last 20 years there were 2 events where vix > 60.
    5 oct 2008
    12 march 2020
     
    #72     May 25, 2023
  3. But this strategy takes almost no time to manage, and once the first months have run without incidents (there is the risk) will cost you no margin..
     
    #73     May 25, 2023
    tman likes this.
  4. tman

    tman

    It is intended to hedge a constellation of broken wing put butterfies of various tenors that are managed to be delta negative and obviously theta positive. This 3SD put structure allows me to maintain no PNR is my TOS account while carrying enough BWBs to have a "theoretical" daily theta > .1% of net liq. (Tho that's not a target!)
    This "factory" get stronger and weaker at various times. (now being on the weaker side). This can kinda be visualized in the excel link I previously posted. During time of "factory weakness" I allow the other structures to accumulate more negative deltas (ie: not monetizing the charm and vanna). I'll also scale the BWBs down to maintain no PNR in the account.

    TLDR; the "factory strength" dictates the size of the profit generating structures.
     
    Last edited: May 25, 2023
    #74     May 25, 2023
    dorietrading and newwurldmn like this.
  5. Sorry, what’s PNR?
     
    #75     May 25, 2023
  6. tman

    tman

    Point of No Return. It's a risk measure that TOS uses to assess risk. So if the downside PNR is 30, that means that theoretically, the account goes to zero at that point.
     
    #76     May 26, 2023
    jtrader33 likes this.
  7. Gentlemen- I am delighted to see some positivity and some great thinking. I only trade UK, but index options are a no brainer. No early exercise and the entire index will not all get caught groping young ladies in lifts(elevators). Has anyone done stats on disgraced CEOs? Good luck to people who trade equity options, not my game. Anyway bloody well done everyone. May we all continue to be profitable, and healthy.
     
    #77     May 28, 2023
    nbbo, cesfx, tman and 1 other person like this.
  8. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    I agree. This has been an interesting thread.
     
    #78     May 28, 2023
    nbbo and tman like this.