fortes fortuna juvat

Discussion in 'Journals' started by stepan7, Feb 26, 2014.

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  1. Cool!Now, try to go live with it and post the results, if i may.
     
    #301     May 16, 2017
  2. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks


    What I meant was FTT is not a requirement for SEQUENCE completion. Yes, I agree, FTT is completion. And I will go on to say that 100% of the time when an FTT has been properly identified, there are only 3 possible outcomes, 100% of the time.

    Bottomline, FTT is VERY COMMON, but it is NOT REQUIRED, it is not always present during sentiment change, nor is it the only way sentiment change occurs or identified.

    I know I have a straight-forward statement from Spyder or Jack somewhere but for now... Pg 119 excerpt from Channels for building wealth.
     
    Last edited: May 16, 2017
    #302     May 16, 2017
  3. Sprout

    Sprout

    Thank you for adding clarity to your previous statement. In those moments that you have identified, a faster fractal is where I interpreted the ftt resides. On the next larger fractal, I've observed the ltl "touch" sentiment shift as you describe. For me, I've seen it in low volume periods and the initial opening volatility on equities, I've just recently been monitoring the Es so cannot speak of that which I have not observed.

    In terms of sentiment change other than ftt, pace acceleration/deacceleration, decr vol, and dom wall, what other signals are you referring to?

    Agreed, 100%;
    Ftt to Ftt
    Ftt to Bo
    Ftt to fbo

    Thanks for serving up your attachments, a couple have filled in some essential gaps for me with Jhm 2.0 !
     
    #303     May 16, 2017
  4. llIHeroic

    llIHeroic

    I forget the exact post but I think these considerations are part of the reason Spyder explicitly said later on that he was trying to move away from the terminology of FTT's. Later on he focused much more exclusively on sequence completion + Signal of Change as an end to trends of his trading fractal.

    In fact I think toward the end of his posting he said he no longer considers FBO as an accurate term for anything in his trading or something along those lines; since a lot of FTT's in price occur before sequences are ever complete and don't signal a change in sentiment of the slower fractal. But once all sequences are complete the next FTT that's a Signal of Change is the beginning of an equal trend in the opposite direction.

    If someone digs up Breakeven's chart of 10/13/10 - 10/15/10 on TL where Spyder was walking him through the last iteration of his method before he stopped posting by having him annotate a large fractal called a Channel, you can see a lot of these things being discussed. All sequences of the first Down Traverse [made of 3 Tapes] end at 1500 on the 14th and I believe Spyder said or implied that at no point before then could the Traverse fractal complete. All Down FTT's were irrelevant to the Traverse fractal and continuation down was expected because the sequences were not yet complete.

    Annotating such precise fractals across multiple days is something I have never seen Jack get into. He was more concerned with what is visible. When Spyder began he was doing things a lot differently than he was at the end. What he once saw as FBO's and reacted to became expected and necessary occurrences in larger sequences.

    You can see his gaussians change over time as well. Before he used one line weight and would have B2B's following R2R's at times. Later on he always had a full b2b2r2b followed by a full r2r2b2r of the same line weight and so on. Then after that he started to draw a faster, thin x2x2y2x composing each leg of the medium gaussian. You can see the progression over time if you look at all his writings/charts in a linear fashion.
     
    #304     May 16, 2017
    svrz likes this.
  5. stepan7

    stepan7

    Folks,

    What you guys are posting here is cool and all very well. And demonstrate deep understanding of the topic.

    I, would be you, would to focus to make as much as possible out of this thing.

    Otherwise it can be easily irrelevant theory with freak out annotated charts.

    Real knowledge come only while applying it for good with real money.

    HTH,

    St.
     
    Last edited: May 16, 2017
    #305     May 16, 2017
    llIHeroic likes this.
  6. svrz

    svrz

    Thank you llIHeroic for yet another insightful post.

    Rather than just posting the chart, perhaps it is best to have the full context of the conversation at hand.

    First, here is the background:

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-280.html#post104642

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-280.html#post104643

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-280.html#post104648

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-280.html#post104649

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-285.html#post104764

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-285.html#post104768

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-285.html#post104775

    Chart:

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-286.html#post104782

    Discussion:

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-286.html#post104785

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-286.html#post104786

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-286.html#post104792

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-287.html#post104803

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-287.html#post104808

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-288.html#post104852

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-288.html#post104863

    Another chart:

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-289.html#post104885

    http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fo...price-volume-relationship-289.html#post104900
     
    #306     May 16, 2017
    llIHeroic likes this.
  7. svrz

    svrz

    So what are you suggesting?

    The original method or JHM 1.0 as you call it, is an attempt at creating a 'standard model' of the market. Many have taken all or parts of it and supplied their own addendum to fill in the gaps.

    JHM 2.0 was an attempt by the late Jack Hershey to create a more precise framework. You wanted as many of its details as possible. I think we provided nearly everything that has been written on it.

    The closest anyone has come to practicing JHM 2.0 is Foredwin but his version is based on Jack's earlier writings and has added material from other authors.

    So in summary, nearly everyone is utilizing these frameworks in a discretionary matter. Hence other than sharing more insight or tips, I don't know if there is much more that we can do. If you think otherwise, then please be specific in your suggestions.
     
    #307     May 16, 2017
  8. stepan7

    stepan7

    Thanks svrz.
     
    #308     May 16, 2017
  9. stepan7

    stepan7

    Can you find that "the exact post"?
     
    #309     May 16, 2017
  10. stepan7

    stepan7

    Let's say goal is to automate JHM 2.0 annotation.

    The task is divided in 4 steps at least.

    1. Info - Easy Part.

    With your and others help, we have it here and I can find much more.

    2 Algorithm - The Hardest Part.

    Definitions and Unambiguous step by step instructions. for each annotation element.

    For example:
    - P1 - What is it? How to locate it. Where to put it on the chart. Chart example.
    - T1 - WTF?
    - and soon.​

    3. Programming - Not easy, but achievable.

    4. QA - Quality Assurance - Easy step with help of others.

    Check if everything run smoothly and according to the Step 2.

    Step 2, as the hardest one, I won't do myself, only with you guys.

    I would like you to understand me correctly - I am not a big fun of digging in to the Old Man writing and extract teas of knowledge. Especially if I am not sure what to do with it.

    For me Spyder's version was much easier to put in the algo and programm in NT.
     
    Last edited: May 16, 2017
    #310     May 16, 2017
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