no. i suggested that you take the side of a bet that the straddle will not be profitable. zdreg to neww.."you are wrong. how much are you willing to bet that a long term straddle will not prove to be profitable?" do you see the word not?
So you think my opinion that earnings will be difficult to forecast has no merit but you think a long straddle will be profitable?
Bill Ackman recent interview. http://seekingalpha.com/article/2765435-an-exclusive-interview-with-pershing-squares-bill-ackman