Forget about a rate cut !

Discussion in 'Economics' started by sobemark, Mar 15, 2007.

  1. dhpar

    dhpar

    there are many other issues.
    A. according to fed any cuts/hikes take some time to be felt in real economy (6mos+). Personally I think that's bullshit - that might have been true 15 years ago but not today when markets and information flow is much more efficient. But if it is true then it will be felt right at the time after the housing market recovers and help to start the next housing bubble all over again...
    B. i believe that fed funds have recently lost all impact on economy - there is so much money that rates are determined by other factors and it is imaginable that cut would in fact tighten monetary conditions (e.g. via foreigner outflows).
    C. It is all about confidence - and cutting rates in environment is a certain suicide. It is not a coincidence that economy was extremely strong during recent hiking campaign (demonstrating fed confidence in economy)....
    D. etc etc
     
    #21     Mar 15, 2007
  2. S2007S

    S2007S



    Not happening, the housing market is already in a decline, no need to save an already overheated market, housing prices are still up 100% from only 5 years ago. Housing is still expensive, housing prices still need to come down 10% to as much as 30-40% in some areas. Houses near me that once sold for 250,000 only in 1998 are up to 800,000 in 2007. You do the math.
     
    #22     Mar 15, 2007
  3. dhpar

    dhpar

    wow - you still have some cheap housing. Many Americans do not have a clue what expensive housing is and what "affordable" really means....
    Inflation will eat 800k very fast in any case :D


    P.S. I am from London
     
    #23     Mar 15, 2007
  4. S2007S

    S2007S


    well not too far away from me houses go for as much as 1.5 to 2 million.
     
    #24     Mar 15, 2007
  5. How in the world can young people earning 35-40k average income afford 800k homes. A 800k mortgage would go for about 4,800/month plus taxes and insurance, not to mention other life's monthly expenses. There is no point for average income folks to live in high priced areas like CT, NJ ,NY, and CA (unless you like living with cockroaches in crappy apartments making your landlord rich), where unless you bought a house 5-10 years ago at least, you are forever priced out of the market. I think prices in those areas need to come down like 80%.
     
    #25     Mar 15, 2007
  6. next exotic mortgage, 50 year fixed!!
     
    #26     Mar 15, 2007
  7. dhpar

    dhpar

    yep - quite usual here. 1m pounds gets you up the ladder in style though.
     
    #27     Mar 15, 2007
  8. here in miami it is gonna get ugly..

    the downtown area has 30k condos under construction w/ 80% of them pre sold to spec's ..

    ugly all around ..but miami may be ground zero.
     
    #28     Mar 15, 2007
  9. dhpar

    dhpar

    hurricanes will sort it out.
     
    #29     Mar 15, 2007

  10. This is why a lot of people support illegal immigrants. They need fresh bodies ,willing to live in cockroach invested apartments, to perform all the services at the Wa Mart like "everday low prices". The descendants of immigrants from centuries ago, have wisened up to the ill effects on society that inflation causes. California would likely cease to operate were all the 1st generation illegals magically transported back to were they came from.
     
    #30     Mar 15, 2007