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# forecasting trenddays

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by man, Feb 23, 2006.

1. ### man

EMATRSlope(0.25) is greater than 0, then tomorrows trendiness is increased by 10%.

EMATR(0.25) is an exponential moving average on true range.

i did something on rangeCompression as well, which indicates additional trendiness, but EMATRSlope seems to do a better job.

anyone else active here? with concrete outputs?

2. ### man

when the market opens tomorrow below 50% of the last ten days range, then the trendiness increases by 20%.

3. ### stephencrowley

How are you quantifying trendiness?

4. ### nazzdack

You might be better off using the Market Profile to describe and anticipate trendiness instead of arithmetic mumbo-jumbo.

5. ### dandxg

Please explain what is EMATRSlope? Thank you.

I recently sat in on Dr John Clayburg seminar, he has a simple way to determine trend I am still testing it. Here is the link if you are interestedhttp://www.clayburg.com/ddf_home.htm

6. ### man

very simple abs(ln(Cto/Oto) or: "what does the market accomplish in distance between open and close.

7. ### man

i put an exponential moving average over true range and measure its slope by looking at todays value divided by yesterday's minus one.

8. ### man

you are referring to the classic steidlmayr concept?

well, here i am currently only looking at tendencies derived out of end of day data.

what you call mambo jumbo is "concrete" to me. anyways, take care.

9. ### murray t turtle

==================
Man;
Yes ;
something like that.

Like to be ready for a trend day anytime;
even though they may not happen as much as would prefer.EMA,SMA , most any MA helps follow trends .

Be ready for them early & like you said eod =good measure;
done better following them more so than forecasting them.

10. ### man

... turtling around ...

#10     Feb 27, 2006
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