Forecasting Markets

Discussion in 'Journals' started by West7, Dec 19, 2024.

  1. hajimow

    hajimow

    Also AI predicts that that there is a 37% chance that GC Feb contract to hit 2725 by Jan 2nd
     
    #11     Dec 20, 2024
  2. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    when i hear the word forecast i first think of fishing and then weather..
     
    #12     Dec 21, 2024
    hajimow likes this.
  3. 358

    358

    Looking at Tesla now. Will post when i see huge opportunities.
     
    #13     Dec 22, 2024
  4. Andrew34

    Andrew34

    Good strategy. Are you planning to hold till Feb or adjust if gold hits a key level earlier?
     
    #14     Dec 23, 2024
  5. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Can we see a chart showing 60 Feb'25 GC entry.

    Also if Gold is undervalued (which doesn't exist -same for overvalued- the smart money would have already move it there) what is the valuation you believe it should be?
     
    #15     Dec 23, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.
  6. hajimow

    hajimow

    My 60 GC were assigned contracts from naked puts at different strike prices and even some were wssignwd Dec contracts that I converted to Feb and I am also selling 2c out of the money calls. There is no one chart with a single entry. What do you want to get by inpecting my account?
     
    #16     Dec 24, 2024
  7. hajimow

    hajimow

     
    #17     Dec 24, 2024
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    And thank you later huh?

    Spot Gold - going sideways for 2+ months already:-

    ! SpotGoldEnd2024.png
     
    Last edited: Dec 24, 2024
    #18     Dec 24, 2024
  9. hajimow

    hajimow

    If gold goes sideways, I will make money as well. I am selling between 100 to 140 calls spread for the next two weeks and as they expire, I collect the premiums. Gold will pop and I am waiting for that day. Of course with my call options, it will make me ahort on gold and I will aell double puts
     
    #19     Dec 24, 2024
  10. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Is there a scenario, somewhere in the universe, where you lose ? Sounds like you’ve covered all the bases, at what price ? I lose the vig when I bet on all outcomes, unless there’s a mispricing somewhere. But unfortunately, I am dumber than the market.
     
    Last edited: Dec 24, 2024
    #20     Dec 24, 2024