I say no pause and added inflation fear language. up .25 tomorrow Tomorrow --- Hurricane, High Oil, and Fed Announcement --- looks like a parlet bet to me!
only a slam duck (short term) if there are enough people 'hoping' or 'expecting' for the fed to pause what do you think?
i think there is a lot of traders "hoping" for a pause, and trading with hope is not profitable ---- HAHAHAHAHAHA! The fed is suppose to be transparent and all the recent fed members speak aligns with continued hikes --- but the fed has surprised traders before.
Go here to see the latest MS report. With the exception of the latest M1 (which might be wrong, being prelim), the Ms have been growing. Pause.
I think I've been right 10 times in a row now, and although it's close this time, i'm parlaying all of it into a raise. Look at the futures and it's a 90% odds according to what traders expect.
They can't pause....rising inflation has got them between a rock and hard place. We're not even at equillibrium yet. Real rates are still negative.