http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1381935 notice how the ten year chart pattern looks like a trend reversal on a very very long term time frame. the price progression looks similar to the bearish pattern at the front of the chart.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred...01&asids=+<Enter+Series+ID>&cg2=Refresh+Graph Comment would be superfluous.