Depends if you use 0.5% or 0.6%, or 0.7% as the death rate. Nobody knows for sure. China were not truthful with how deaths they really had.
Your not allowing for atleast 50% maybe even 80% showing zero symptons just like a regular flu viris.
UK death data is screwed, was 108 yesterday then raised for 400+ cause they found a lot of heart attack victims, home alone, then tested and slotted them into the had the virus category, despite heart attack being the actual cause. Same today I presume, or 1 hell of a jump. UK could easily stay under 10K, we'll say 15K / 68Mil ?? = %0.022 and 1/2 those 15K are BS, they are saying, deaths tested with, not caused by. Regular Flu 17K per year, 0.024% ( they round to 0.1% )
Watch Sweden, no lockdowns planned, see if there figures differ, odds are very few lives saved from the chaos being caused.
Don't follow which just news saying Ventilators being delivered soon and 1000's of them. UK will have new temp hospital with 4000 ICU beds and Ventilators soon, some already functional, there not sure if going to be needed, as London and London appears to of peaked. Guess can transfer people to there maybe!
Come on guys...one guy says 10k deaths, another guy says 1 million. Just say it is somewhere in the middle. It is not that hard.