I must say I am impressed with your patience here southall, you are a way better person than I am. Keep up the good work.
Death rate at 0.3% for exposed (incuding untested), and 300mn people in USA. I don't see how we get to 1 million really, now that everyone is in lockdown.
Nah 5-6K, it'll run sideways for a week then start heading down, less deaths on the way down as health service can cope better. No idea, on population per state, so hard to come up with over all projection.
Hospitals getting more Ventilators and they've started to say screw it and use treatments that appear to be working from the sound of it, so expecting reduced deaths soon. 1/2 Flu expected!!
NY has 140k hospital beds and 10% of those will die on average. So if 5k die, then they have way too many beds...but they are saying they don't have enough.
0.3% still high, maybe 10x's high, guess he was basing on the death/tested rate of 6% for a while while the media was scaremongering everyone.