Fibs don't work

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by SunTrader, May 18, 2022.

  1. themickey

    themickey

    Yes indeed, cherry picked in hindsight.
    If only we could place trades in the past.
     
    #121     May 24, 2022
    Aj2014 likes this.
  2. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    Well Mick,
    Just place a Fib trade on the 1 min chart at 00:12 uk time ,,long

    not cherry picking level 127.00%
     
    #122     May 24, 2022
  3. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    Sorry 1.07335 to 1.7341
     
    #123     May 24, 2022
  4. tuxedo69

    tuxedo69

    Please watch the candles being painted
     
    #124     May 24, 2022
  5. I don't consider this a fail. You have to remember you are not trading the fibs when they get there, you are trading the respect and rejection of the fib level such as it did at (F) the 50% retracement.
     
    #125     May 25, 2022
  6. NoahA

    NoahA

    I'm not sure I follow. If you are looking for longs in this down move, and you have these levels, how can you take credit for taking a long at the 50%, but not say that a long at 38.2 is a fail? Of course you can use a wide stop, and maybe your strategy is to take the 38, the 50 and the 68, but I'm looking at this strictly from binary perspective. Either the fib level makes price turn on a dime or it doesn't. Clearly you need some wiggle room, but if price doesn't bounce off the 38.2 and instead hits the 50, I consider the 38.2 fib failing to support price.
     
    #126     May 25, 2022
  7. treeman

    treeman

    The 168, 268 and 468 are amazing places to feed the ducks.
     
    #127     May 25, 2022
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Absolutely and that is why I, as I previously stated, I don't use price fibs in isolation.

    Time fibs are important, if not more so, as is pattern, momentum and lastly I watch Gann levels whether they line up or not.

    I don't do "magically" derived trade entries/exits.
     
    #128     May 25, 2022
    NoahA likes this.
  9. Sprout

    Sprout

    What's a Gann level?
     
    #129     May 25, 2022
  10. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Gann Sqof9 degree levels. 360° being the most important:-
    ! NQ Sq9.png
     
    #130     May 25, 2022