fib. expansion and retrace in forex

Discussion in 'Forex' started by shopster, Jul 8, 2011.

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  1. athan00

    athan00

    on first image.
    first i analysed the trade and I saw forming a DB on A & B at .86 level .
    I also had a channel acting as support to DB and money line as well.
    My first thought was that price would go at least to 161.8 at channel level. There was hidden divergence as well (in my view).

    Then i did some further analysis and i saw that there was a DT as well forming (second image) and apart from that there is a supply level right above DT. Also there was normal divergence as well.
    I t looked like a session x 3 as you posted in your previous posts but i m not really sure about it.

    So i took the 2nd analysis. It worked up to 0 fib where it retraced. I exited there cause 1st i was afraid and 2nd i wasn't sure if it would continue any further down to 161.8.
    I made few pips.

    From my observation so far when you find out a divergence its an edge that will work most of the times when you combine it with fibs but it doesn't mean it will be a full move. It can just move up to 100 fib or 138 and then retrace. So by moving SL and some good money management i suppose everyone can make something out of this, right?


    first image
     
    #341     Dec 19, 2011
  2. athan00

    athan00

    second image

    trade i finally took
     
    #342     Dec 19, 2011
  3. ........................................

    A,

    look at the zero lag on your entry.
    the histo bars are none existent.
    the lower the bars on the second leg the better the % .

    ....................................

    start being more selective in your setups.

    look for this setup

    the dt is far away from the emas

    box it up and sell it back to the money for bigger ticks.

    the red line is a 13 sma

    s
     
    #343     Dec 19, 2011
  4. here is the same trade setup on a 1 min

    you have trip top diverged

    if there are no more long pendings to be triggered after 3 rises
    the boyz then puke it out.

    all support and resistance

    the game flows to the money / new pendings / stops

    once all the longs are on board, the next action is to puke it and hit their stops.

    price flows to the money.

    fish in a barrel.

    s
     
    #344     Dec 19, 2011
  5. when the 5 min hits the 729 and trip top diverges with all the long pendings on board.........

    the next move is back to the money for 30 ticks.

    cheers,

    s
     
    #345     Dec 19, 2011
  6. 3 to a bottom

    zip on the histo bars
    fully diverged
    cork

    60 ticks back to the money.

    be selective.........

    wait for diverged slingshots
    dt
    db
    trip tops
    trip bottoms

    s

    :cool:
     
    #346     Dec 19, 2011
  7. on a trip top away from the moneyline there is no overhead to get in the way

    you are fully diverged and the zerolag histo is puking south

    after a full pull you are fully diverged for the slingshot back up

    long pendings are on board from the trip top

    so puke em out and hit the stops

    100 ticks to the 5.7

    s
     
    #347     Dec 19, 2011
  8. this is what the rest of retail sees...........
    so after 6 hours of trip tops it has gotta break out north

    break out guys
    zip

    short diverged traders
    50 to 100 ticks

    s
     
    #348     Dec 19, 2011
  9. on the slingshot db retrace

    lets go back up to the .86 one legger target with a shop full pull 5.7 exit door

    and so it goes.........

    s

    :cool:
     
    #349     Dec 19, 2011
  10. lets move on...........

    fib expansion also worxs in H and S setups

    .....................................................................

    fib out the right shoulder for the exit doors.

    this shoulder should be fully diverged on the zero lag histo
    so a cork above water

    pic attached.

    s

    :cool:
     
    #350     Dec 20, 2011
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