Hi JS, I am also trying similar approach, just saw your 15 mins charts, trying to basically bind the price, within previous S/R and trend lines, on higher TF (1 HR) , then trading on 1 min chart, I am going to act only when it touches one of the boundaries of hourly , because there only i see maximum probability and low risk reward if it swings back etc. Just seeing your chart , I realize i should do post some context charts BEFORE actually trading, and before even trading i should have my steps ready that what i am going to do.. i know i will throw off the towel once i am there but let see if this approach works..
Hi note, Getting some context, and even trying to "get in the flow of PA" before NY open helps me tremendously. I too try to determine some entries, BUT, I don't stay glued to them. IT takes a lot of time to develop an approach, so be patient with it. I have not yet arrived, but I shall. The journey is completely unique, unlike anything I've ever done. Good learning to you Sir. -JS
Today was a good day. I expect to find a lot of information about myself from today's trades. I didn't update my personal journal yet, because my head is quite foggy. I assume it is because of all of the "head-on collisions" I had today while practicing flawless execution. Items I journaled today while trading: 13 trades: 4 W & 9 L : +23.80 (commission into red) TECHNICAL: I learned from two friends it's my context, and does it accurately portray price action. This is my game and I decide how to play. Managing trade 1 would have led to much more profit, instead of taking profit at predetermined S/R level. I created trade plans for each trade. They were solid, but there were too many. Immediately after trade number one, I had $205 profit. Now according to my plan, having hit a daily objective, I would stop trading. But, should this be part of my plan? So I stopped for a moment and continued to watch price fall, and I had off all day today, so I decided to continue practicing executing my trades and learning price action. Here is the next TA question. I had many "low-quality" signals today. These signals have a big chance of a pullback, and I have not yet added this as a filter to my signal. Should I add this filter? I think it would be a great technical tool for my signal. STATISTICS from Last 22 Trades: Trade Stats: 22 trades. 6 W 16 L = +$155 Win Rate 27.27% Wins $825 Average Win $137.50 Losses ($670) Average Loss $41.88 Profit $155 Max A. Run 6 trades % Equity Risk 1 to 1.5% trade P:L 3.28:1 Expectation: .2727 X 137.5 = $34.50 .7273 X 41.88 = $30.46 = +$4.04 Payoff .2727 X 3.8 = $1.04 .7273 X 1 = $.73 = +$.31 COMMISSION Would put this in the red by -$0.76 per contract. ================================= MENTAL: Surprisingly, the trade that caused me the most emotion was my first. It was a good read on PA, and went immediately to target. I need to spend time here to learn about the emotion. Even off the open my heart was pounding. What fear was operating then? rhetorical, but I'll answer later. I wanted to trade today, and didn't stop after objective, because I wanted to learn and practice. I'm not sure if this is ok to do. I guess the question is, would I have traded this way live? Before I can ask that though, I need to ask if I have a profitable edge yet? I'm more upset that I didn't follow one of my strict rules outlined in my plan. "After any two consecutive losses, halt trading to regroup." If I followed this rule, I would have notice a really evident range/chop that lasted the entire day. I let myself down by not following this rule. I want to trust myself trading. Now that breeds the question, should I have stopped after profit objective reached? Not following this rule in my plan, might have led to a state of not following another rule. ============================== I hope to get to my journal this evening after dinner, so I can decide some things. I have a lot to decide and work on. Boy is this a journey. I'm not down, I'm actually surprised to see that over the past 22 trades, I'm not incredibly negative. I'm proud of that, and it's only going to get better as I work harder. I am however, very "foggy"...hard to explain, I'm sure some of you know what I'm talking about. ==JS
Greetings JS, Nice response to Note; "You were rigid in your rules for setting up your charts this morning,...but you were going to remain flexible in your expectations of what they meant throughout the day." Nice. KDASFTG
We use context to frame up price Price hitting said context is not a reason to trade Wait for..., trade the supporting PA ============ Ever see where NOD posted (and I'm paraphrasing) 2nd mouse gets the cheese 1st mouse gets dead - more often than not meaning = wait for confirmation that the context still valid / price still respects it Hell who knows..., maybe some BB has changed their mind and is waiting to drive price down further..., maybe a war broke out..., maybe..., maybe..., maybe We must always factor in the maybes..., and never see it as a "will happen" RN
Shit like this simply makes my head spin The easy thing..., the kind thing..., hell even the good ole boy..., slap you on the back thing - would be to blow sunshine up your skirt You tell me where you want me to take my response - sure as shit JS..., it won't be good job today - not when you break a rule Or..., I can simply drop it..., and we can move on Your call RN
Don't drop it. Take it where you used to take it on yourself. Mine is sure hell-spun. And I need to do serious digging here. That's my plan for tomorrow. -JS.
Problems (no particular order - as they all matter) Changed plan / rules during a session (only off hrs is this allowed) We have rules to regulate our behavior in an uncertain environment - without rules we are uncertain Jeopardized self trust We can break a rule thousands..., upon thousands..., of times - it only takes once Break 1..., why not another one gone..., and another one gone..., and another one (until it's us who bites the dust) What is trading only about...., trading..., or making money To that end - what is our number 1 priority = protect capital first You made more than your target - yet protected none..., and lost most Every time we enter - we are (our capital is) at risk No discipline (even the slightest slip means - there is none) And it would have been worse for you - if you had made more than the initial $205..., because you would have made it while breaking your rules..., and you would be dealing with the ego that comes out of that btw; 1st trade..., mkt did exactly what you expected..., rewarded you more than what you planned - instead of being happy..., satisfied..., content - you thumbed your nose and wanted more - ego my man ================== I get you're new at this I get how "cool" it is to pull money out of the mkt I get how "fun" trading can be - especially when it works quickly I get how you're learning this And I get it on sim So what's the big deal!!!!!!! I also get - imprint a bad habit - it takes 4X the work to unlearn it I also get - the mkt is unforgiving and relentlessness - either so must we..., or suffer - and we can't learn to be - unless we are - every day..., every trade =================== You think you broke 1..., possibly 2 rules today Trust me JS..., you broke more than just 2 rules today..., and screwed up some very important intangibles along the way Sir RN