Fed Gave Banks Crisis Gains on $80 Billion Secretive Loans as Low as 0.01%

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by ASusilovic, May 26, 2011.

  1. No, I think a lot of people care.

    Its just that most are too busy being foreclosed on and having to move their stuff out and figuring out where their kids are going to go to school now. :D

    As for American Idol and gossip crap - that is what the media feeds the airwaves, not necessarily what people really want.

    Its like when commentators say "The Federal Reserve needs to remain politically independent!" Well, who ever proved they actually ARE? Its just a mantra that gets repeated without thought, like planting an idea that is never to be disputed.

    The media is trying to be an opiate to dull people's perceptions, but all it does is piss people off.
     
    #11     May 26, 2011
  2. They should have done this with full transparency in hindsight, but everything's easy in hindsight.
     
    #12     May 26, 2011
  3. DT-waw

    DT-waw

    the day before 9/11 rumsfeld told on air that 2.3 trillion is missing from pentagons books.

    nobody cares.

    and on sep 11 something crashed into pentagon, dep. of accounting. certainly, not the commercial airliner.
     
    #13     May 26, 2011
  4. I'm just curious whether anyone actually bothered to calculate just how much of a "subsidy" to the banks this was?

    There's a lot of outrage, so I'm curious what sorts of numbers people are thinking about. What's the estimate? Did the Fed give banks trillions, billions or unthinkable bazillioons?
     
    #14     May 26, 2011
  5. so basically we're PAYING them to STEAL money from us. if this ain't the greatest banana republic ever in history of mankind, what is?
     
    #15     May 26, 2011
  6. Not quite sure I understand exactly what the outstanding notional, duration, or actual cost was - though gorilla math shows:

    $80B x .49%/12 x 10 = ~320 Million

    ...makes LTCM seem like a big deal? Also, to your point, it's an opportunity cost as opposed to some other 'bailouts', no?
     
    #16     May 26, 2011
  7. Well, it's actually quite a bit less than that, but your calculation is roughly along the right lines. An $80bn 1m loan has a DV01 or about $660k/bp. Let's use December 08 as a representative period. Arnd that time the prevailing mkt rate was arnd 20bps (I use 1M FF OIS, which is conservative, as OIS is unsecured, whereas the Fed always lends against collateral). The lowest rate given in the article is 1bp, which gives us the "Fed subsidy" in basis points, 19bps. Using this 19bps on the DV01 of the whole $80bn worth of loans gives us ... $12.635mil. Now as I said, this is a conservative estimate, but suppose we make it even more conservative and use a differential of 49bps, rather than 19bps (given the article helpfully points out that the Fed's Discount Window facility lends at 50bps). That raises our very conservative estimate of the "Fed subsidy" to $32.585mil.

    So, basically, the Fed lent money to the banks to support liquidity and prevent further deterioration of the money mkts at the "cost" of about 0.13% of TARP (using the CBO estimate). Alternatively, the cost of this program was arnd 0.04% of the Fed remittance to the US Treasury for the fiscal year 2010 (if my arithmetic works).

    At any rate, I certainly think that in hindsight the whole cloak and dagger sh1te should have been avoided. However, I can only imagine how scared they must have been back then. Moreover, I am certainly not happy that the international megabank cartel is the only way by which liquidity can be injected into the mkt, but that's, unfortunately, the world we live in. There doesn't appear to be any will to reform the financial system and to fix the TBTF issue, which means that the banks will always have the taxpayer over a barrel when push comes to shove.
     
    #17     May 26, 2011
  8. Agreed, was just multiplying by 10 since they said March-December (maybe still wrong). Either way, you make a good point for both points of view. Thanks.
     
    #18     May 26, 2011
  9. As scared as an arsonist who has just set his house ablaze.
     
    #19     May 26, 2011
  10. You can google this info and it seems to be out there on the web back as early as 09. Maybe we're not talking about the same thing.

    Example.

    New York Fed:

    “On March 7, with spreads between 1-month Treasury repo and 1-month Agency MBS repo having reached as high as 140 basis points, the Desk began to initiate a series of 1-day forward 28-day single-tranche RPs.6 This 28-day RP book grew to $80 billion over the course of the year (Chart 6). These operations were intended to narrow the 1-month repo spread between Treasury and Agency MBS collateral and provide the primary dealers a steady financing source for Agency MBS. In response, the spread eventually narrowed to about 20 basis points, close to historical norms.”[1](Via Prins)



    “In 2009, the Fed offered a total of $80 billion for short-term loans to holders of mortgage-backed securities."
     
    #20     May 26, 2011