Some train wreck. For the first time since the campaign began McCain has pulled in front of Obama on Intrade.
Big rally. The Clintonites had it right. In every must win swing state Hillary destroyed Obama in the primary.
The swings on Intrade are very wild sometimes. The night before McCain picked Palin, Intrade was showing a less than 10% chance of him choosing anyone other than Romney or Pawlenty. Sometimes Intrade gets it right and sometimes it is incredibly wrong.
Use your head vhehn. That would be like a stock breaking 5% on good earnings and you saying that what matters most was the good report. The market (Intrade) knows the USA Today poll. They know Gallop and Rasmussen and Zogby and everyone else. As a collective body participants say there's a slightly better chance at this moment that McCain will beat Obama. Nothing more nothing less and no more a final arbitor than a NFL point spread or the last print in ZB. But what Intrade DOES mean is that the Palin choice is a HUGE plus for McCain and despite the media and bloggers and ET idiots bringing up troopergate or abortion or whatever knock de jour it's only hurting Obama. If McCain supporters and conservative bloggers called Obama or his children monkeys-would it hurt McCain? OF COURSE it would. Even I would feel sympathetic to Obama. Well calling a woman an unqualified pig with lipstick, accusing her of switching babies with her daughter ect-that stuff hurts Obama. Big. It's showing up in sentiment. Plus his acceptance speech at the DNC was simply partisan and horrible and picking Biden was nuts.
How about a mandatory requirement that presidential nominee must be an atheist? How convenient to pick and choose. Which church supports sex before marriage?