Facebook ($FB)

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by Lloyd W. Coutee, Nov 18, 2015.

  1. $FB tightening
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    #21     Dec 11, 2015
    Vincent S. Ashmore likes this.
  2. Down 3% today on this selloff, I'm adding at this price.
     
    #22     Dec 11, 2015
    Vincent S. Ashmore likes this.
  3. Redneck

    Redneck

    I drew a median line in the DM channel just to show where price ended today

    More in a minute

    RN



    upload_2015-12-11_19-1-26.png
     
    #23     Dec 11, 2015
  4. Redneck

    Redneck

    Next week in addition to above:

    Data point: FOMC announcement next Wed


    ==========================================

    So..., price BO and down..., out of the horizontal channel today

    Do I nuke the context and redo..., leave it..., modify it..., or what

    ==============================

    The purpose of context - is not to forecast - it can't do that..., it won't do that..., it was never intended / meant for that

    Rather it is to gauge / measure current PA

    If I were to nuke it - that's me formulating the opinion price is not returning (at least it the foreseeable future to retest

    If I were to redo - why..., and to what end - been working so no need to monkey with it

    It I were to leave it - that means it must serve its intended purpose - to be able to gauge / measure - does it???? I don't think it does with enough accuracy

    That leaves me with modifying

    ==============================

    Price is at the DM channel's mean - will it remain in the upper half of the DM channel..., and ultimately return to the upper boundary

    Or..., will it traverse to the lower half..., and possibly even go to the other (down) side boundary of the channel

    No clue

    =========================

    The plan..., create a range for Monday (based on price) and trade the BO either way

    One thing pretty sure - next week will be volatile (and I hate volatility)

    ==================================

    Side note

    When creating context - too much is never better

    Keep it simple..., straight forward..., minimal.., and accurate

    Otherwise the PA gets covered up.., the context send mixed signals..., causes massive confusion in the ole head


    Till Monday

    RN


    upload_2015-12-11_19-22-26.png
     
    #24     Dec 11, 2015
    komorebi and Hooti like this.
  5. Hooti

    Hooti

    It is hard to know who to pay attention to when you are starting.

    RN is giving you a set of keys to the kingdom.
     
    #25     Dec 12, 2015
    slugar likes this.
  6. i'm curious - what are you adding to...stock, or options?

    [or are you selling Puts? :eek: Yikes, look out below!]

    marc
    :cool:
     
    #26     Dec 12, 2015
  7. Redneck

    Redneck

    Hooti

    You are too kind Sir

    Thank You :)


    =================================

    LWC

    Few random thoughts




    I seriously doubt price will simply BO of the last range (box I posted) and go

    Pretty much guaranteed techniques will be employed

    Pretty much guaranteed price is going to be bounce around before heading off

    =========================


    We don't think / trade like BSDs (BSD..., big swinging dicks)

    The one's with enough money to move / affect price..., the one's with the psychological make up to know how us little traders think / trade..., the one's who utilize techniques to exploit us little traders

    Granted.., some participants don't have the time / inclination to be bothered..., but..., rest assured there are some who do


    ==========================

    Volatility = directional-less momentum

    Momentum = directional volatility

    They are essentially cut from the same bolt of cloth.., meaning they're a couple of the techniques employed to achieve the same results (lure in..., run stops..., shake out..., trap in..., trap out)

    There is also extended momentum (extended directional move lasting several minutes..., to hours..., to most of the day) - this is a different animal..., and not to be confused with above

    ====================

    Shorts exiting..., has the same affect as longs entering

    Longs exiting..., has the same affect as shorts entering

    But each do so for totally different conditions (whether those conditions actually exist..., or are being orchestrated)

    Price can be made to appear weak - right before it shoots off to the moon

    Price can be made to look strong - right before it drops like a rock

    These are also techniques employed

    =========================

    Us little traders think in terms of over bought / over sold..., weak / strong ..., MAs..., all sorts of esoteric things

    None of which has anything to do with the price of tea in china


    BSDs think in terms of making money..., **creating/ providing liquidity..., risk mitigation..., order flow

    Which establishes the price of tea world wide


    Note

    ** Please do not confuse creating and providing - they are opposite ends of the spectrum in their intent (one is an obligation..., other is a technique)

    =================

    Our job is to exploit..., not be exploited (while protecting our ass (capital) first..., and making money second)


    Just a little sumthin.., sumthin to ponder Sir

    RN
     
    Last edited: Dec 13, 2015
    #27     Dec 13, 2015
  8. Hooti

    Hooti

    ***sigh***

    RN -- you have changed my mental image of "swing" trading forever.
     
    #28     Dec 13, 2015
  9. Redneck

    Redneck

    :eek: :D

    RN
     
    #29     Dec 13, 2015
  10. $FB looking good from my entry point Friday at $102.22. Stop in place. Let's see where it runs from here.
     
    #30     Dec 14, 2015