Facebook Crash

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by pod11432, May 21, 2012.

  1. hajimow

    hajimow

    was that a compliment? :p
     
    #131     Jul 26, 2012
  2. hajimow

    hajimow

    #132     Jul 26, 2012
  3. yeah well facilitating serendipity helps.. i'm with you..a good risk to reward ratio and some intuition.. if you could be right alot of the time.. and were smart about the options trades you made.. and on top of that weren't scared to buy deep otm options on the occasion.. It just doesn't make intuitve sense for people to take more losses then wins to make super big wins.. they would rather pick up nickels in front of a steam roller..
     
    #133     Jul 27, 2012
  4. LEAPup

    LEAPup

     
    #134     Jul 27, 2012
  5.  
    #135     Jul 27, 2012
  6. hajimow

    hajimow

    now selling naked call 26 for August 17 for 0.25 makes sense.
     
    #136     Jul 27, 2012
  7. hajimow

    hajimow

    Market is on fire and FB is tumbling so bad. You need $250 margin to sell one naked Call 26 for August 17. The gain is 10% 3 weeks. No way FB can climb up to 26. As always there is a risk. DYODD
     
    #137     Jul 27, 2012

  8. A lot of risk for $25 less commissions? You could tune in next week and watch FB short squeeze back up to 27!
    FB seems to want to be above $23 so far, after all the bad news is already out.
    So an alternative trade might be to Sell an August 23/22 Bull Put Spread for a $35 credit, with a Max Loss of $65.
    If FB closes at 23 or above on August 17th you'd make +53.85%.

    But I'm not doing either trade.
    Will just continue praying for my Iron Condors...
    :)
     
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    #138     Jul 27, 2012
  9. I'll bet you $1,000 that we touch $26, using delta*2 as the touch probability as the odds you lay. Deal?

    [​IMG]
     
    #139     Jul 27, 2012
  10. hajimow

    hajimow

    Let's bet with no money. I will call you a legend if FB closes above 26 on August option expiry date. I sold lots of 27 and 28 calls expiring today. I sold them at 1.5 and 2.2 just a few days ago. I have also sold 26 Call August for 3.2 and then it went to 3.8 but I kept my cool and did not tap out. I am selling more and more of FB naked call 26 today. FB tends to gravitate towards 24 or 23 today. So far 24 looks higher possibility. Just because of option.
     
    #140     Jul 27, 2012